Match Info

B.League

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Hiroshima Sun Plaza (Hiroshima)


	Hiroshima Dragonflies		Koshigaya Alphas

	1	2
	1.48	2.55
	1.48	2.35	Watch
	1.5	2.61
	1.52	2.47	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.45	2.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.34)	2.51 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hiroshima Dragonflies
62.7%

Koshigaya Alphas
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hiroshima Dragonflies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hiroshima Dragonflies's form might have worsened.

Koshigaya Alphas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Koshigaya Alphas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hiroshima Dragonflies than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hiroshima Dragonflies, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Koshigaya Alphas than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Koshigaya Alphas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hiroshima Dragonflies - Koshigaya Alphas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Cockburn K.	5. Clemmons A.
13. Evans D.	8. Diawara J.
34. Mitani K.	45. Doumbouya S.
4. Roberts K.	7. Matsuyama S.
0. Terashima R.	11. Sotto K.
Substitutes
00. Hamilton Gary K.	13. Hori Y.
32. Hareyama K.	12. Ikeda Y.
3. Ito T.	18. Kamata Y.
10. Kamisawa T. (C)	31. Kitagawa S. (C)
14. Sako R.	10. Mitsui K.
8. Smith C.	14. Oba T.
30. Yamazaki R.	4. Shike K.
Coaches
. Asayama S.	. Anzai R.

Preview

Dragonflies is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Koshigaya Alphas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Koshigaya Alphas has had a series of home games.

In this match, Dragonflies is the team to beat.

We predict that Dragonflies will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dragonflies won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 268:244. (average 89.3:81.3).

Including home match between the teams, Dragonflies won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 92:89.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hiroshima Dragonflies
Japan B League Premier
07.03.26	Hiroshima Dragonflies - Koshigaya Alphas	92:89 ✺
15.02.26	Shiga Lakestars - Hiroshima Dragonflies	89:104 ✺
14.02.26	Shiga Lakestars - Hiroshima Dragonflies	81:94 ✺
08.02.26	Hiroshima Dragonflies - Akita Northern Happinets	79:69 ✺
07.02.26	Hiroshima Dragonflies - Akita Northern Happinets	101:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWWW
- Koshigaya Alphas
Japan B League Premier
07.03.26	Hiroshima Dragonflies - Koshigaya Alphas	92:89 ✺
15.02.26	Koshigaya Alphas - Tokyo SunRockers	62:69 ✺
14.02.26	Koshigaya Alphas - Tokyo SunRockers	93:75 ✺
08.02.26	Koshigaya Alphas - Sendai 89ers	67:76 ✺
07.02.26	Koshigaya Alphas - Sendai 89ers	87:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan B League Premier
07.03.26	Hiroshima Dragonflies - Koshigaya Alphas	92:89
02.02.25	Koshigaya Alphas - Hiroshima Dragonflies	65:76
01.02.25	Koshigaya Alphas - Hiroshima Dragonflies	90:100

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