Match Info

NCAA

Date: 4 February 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	IPFW Mastodons		Youngstown State Penguins

	1	2
	1.71	2.2
	1.6	2.18
	1.74	2.15
	1.68	2.08	Watch
	1.67	2.2
	1.69	2.18
	1.74	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.6)	2.16 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 147.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

IPFW Mastodons
56.1%

Youngstown State Penguins
43.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

IPFW Mastodons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Youngstown State Penguins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for IPFW Mastodons than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Youngstown State Penguins than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

IPFW Mastodons - Youngstown State Penguins Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:73

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, IPFW won 3.

IPFW is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Youngstown State's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

IPFW may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

IPFW is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that IPFW will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, IPFW won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 907:926. (average 75.6:77.2).

Including home matches between the teams, IPFW won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 326:311. (average 81.5:77.8).

Outrights of NCAA College Basketball for now

Youngstown State: 0.22% IPFW: 0.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IPFW Mastodons basketball
NCAA College Basketball
31.01.26	IPFW Mastodons - Robert Morris Colonials	83:71 ✺
28.01.26	IPFW Mastodons - Oakland Golden Grizzlies	65:74 ✺
21.01.26	Detroit Mercy Titans - IPFW Mastodons	76:83 ✺
18.01.26	IPFW Mastodons - Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers	100:82 ✺
11.01.26	Robert Morris Colonials - IPFW Mastodons	74:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLWWW
- Youngstown State Penguins basketball
NCAA College Basketball
30.01.26	Youngstown State Penguins - IUPUI Jaguars	85:76 ✺
24.01.26	Youngstown State Penguins - Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers	64:65 ✺
22.01.26	Youngstown State Penguins - Wisconsin-Green Bay Phoenix	88:81 ✺
17.01.26	Cleveland State Vikings - Youngstown State Penguins	80:78 ✺
15.01.26	Wright State Raiders - Youngstown State Penguins	93:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
07.01.26	Youngstown State Penguins - IPFW Mastodons	69:71
06.03.25	Youngstown State Penguins - IPFW Mastodons	72:67
12.02.25	Youngstown State Penguins - IPFW Mastodons	93:71
04.01.25	IPFW Mastodons - Youngstown State Penguins	90:81
04.02.24	IPFW Mastodons - Youngstown State Penguins	82:78
10.01.24	Youngstown State Penguins - IPFW Mastodons	93:85
10.02.23	IPFW Mastodons - Youngstown State Penguins	72:81

IPFW Mastodons - Youngstown State Penguins