Match Info

NCAA

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	IUPUI Jaguars		IPFW Mastodons

	1	2
	2.01	1.76
	1.95	1.78
	2	1.86
	1.89	1.83	Watch
	2	1.8
	2	1.8
	2.55	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.3)	1.77 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

IUPUI Jaguars
46.2%

IPFW Mastodons
53.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.8%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

IUPUI Jaguars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in IUPUI Jaguars's performance.

IPFW Mastodons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and IPFW Mastodons might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

The ML Model estimate for IUPUI Jaguars aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for IPFW Mastodons aligns with the current prediction.

IUPUI Jaguars - IPFW Mastodons Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:82

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, IUPUI won 1.

IUPUI has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

IPFW is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

IUPUI may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

IPFW might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that IPFW will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, IUPUI won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1342:1525. (average 67.1:76.3).

Including home matches between the teams, IUPUI won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 551:630. (average 68.9:78.8).

Outrights of NCAA College Basketball for now

IPFW: 0.22% IU Indy: 0.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IUPUI Jaguars basketball
NCAA College Basketball
25.02.26	IUPUI Jaguars - Oakland Golden Grizzlies	74:86 ✺
19.02.26	Wright State Raiders - IUPUI Jaguars	85:73 ✺
15.02.26	IPFW Mastodons - IUPUI Jaguars	83:78 ✺
12.02.26	IUPUI Jaguars - Northern Kentucky Norse	81:84 ✺
10.02.26	IUPUI Jaguars - Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers	88:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- IPFW Mastodons basketball
NCAA College Basketball
25.02.26	IPFW Mastodons - Wright State Raiders	70:74 ✺
22.02.26	Cleveland State Vikings - IPFW Mastodons	86:92 ✺
18.02.26	Northern Kentucky Norse - IPFW Mastodons	87:71 ✺
15.02.26	IPFW Mastodons - IUPUI Jaguars	83:78 ✺
12.02.26	Wisconsin-Green Bay Phoenix - IPFW Mastodons	76:59 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
15.02.26	IPFW Mastodons - IUPUI Jaguars	83:78
25.01.25	IUPUI Jaguars - IPFW Mastodons	80:91
11.12.24	IPFW Mastodons - IUPUI Jaguars	78:76
10.02.24	IUPUI Jaguars - IPFW Mastodons	65:92
17.01.24	IPFW Mastodons - IUPUI Jaguars	79:85
25.01.23	IPFW Mastodons - IUPUI Jaguars	81:75
12.01.23	IUPUI Jaguars - IPFW Mastodons	55:70

IUPUI Jaguars - IPFW Mastodons