Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 2 December 2023, Saturday


	Idaho Vandals		Cal Poly Mustangs

	1	2
	1.57	2.55
	1.57	2.45
	1.56	2.5	Watch
	1.59	2.42
	1.6	2.42
	1.57	2.3
	1.56	2.38
	1.51	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.84)	2.43 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 131.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Idaho Vandals
60.8%

Cal Poly Mustangs
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Idaho Vandals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Idaho Vandals's performance.

Cal Poly Mustangs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cal Poly Mustangs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Idaho Vandals than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Idaho Vandals that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cal Poly Mustangs than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cal Poly Mustangs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Idaho Vandals - Cal Poly Mustangs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 68:64

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Preview

Idaho is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Cal Poly is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Cal Poly have a series of guest games.

Idaho will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Idaho won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 209-215.

Including matches at home between the teams Idaho won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 138-133.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Idaho Vandals basketball
NCAA College Basketball
29.11.23	Idaho Vandals - Denver Pioneers	65:67 ✺
24.11.23	UC San Diego Tritons - Idaho Vandals	70:73 OT ✺
22.11.23	Seattle Redhawks - Idaho Vandals	92:55 ✺
09.11.23	Idaho Vandals - Cal State Northridge Matadors	73:76 ✺
06.11.23	Washington State Cougars - Idaho Vandals	84:59 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWLLL
- Cal Poly Mustangs basketball
NCAA College Basketball
29.11.23	Cal Poly Mustangs - San Jose State Spartans	81:77 OT ✺
19.11.23	California Baptist Lancers - Cal Poly Mustangs	67:58 ✺
18.11.23	Portland State Vikings - Cal Poly Mustangs	73:57 ✺
17.11.23	St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies - Cal Poly Mustangs	60:61 ✺
11.11.23	Wyoming Cowboys - Cal Poly Mustangs	80:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
23.11.22	Cal Poly Mustangs - Idaho Vandals	82:71
24.11.21	Idaho Vandals - Cal Poly Mustangs	63:67
25.11.17	Idaho Vandals - Cal Poly Mustangs	75:66

Idaho Vandals - Cal Poly Mustangs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide