Match Info

EUROPE: ABA League - Round 17

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Sportska dvorana Laktasi (Laktasi)

Referee: Mustapic M. (Cro)


	Igokea		KK Zadar

	1	2
	1.48	2.4
	1.48	2.45
	1.52	2.46	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.48	2.53
	1.48	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.36)	2.47 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 153.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Igokea
62.3%

KK Zadar
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Igokea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Igokea's form might have worsened.

KK Zadar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting KK Zadar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Igokea than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KK Zadar than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Igokea - KK Zadar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:75

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Carter T.	88. Gilbert D.
10. Ilic V.	14. Mazalin L.
7. Jones B.	1. Mihailovic V.
21. Milosavljevic D.	8. Proleta D.
22. Simanic B.	46. Ramljak M.
Substitutes
12. Antunovic S.	24. Bakovic M.
4. Gavrilovic S.	25. Dundovic M.
34. Jeremic M.	6. Klarica K.
77. Milovanovic V.	5. Wahl T.
8. Pusica V.	9. Zganec K.
3. Radosic O.
11. Stankovic O.
Coaches
. Stefanovic N.	. Jusup D.

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ ABA League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ ABA League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Igokea won 3.

Recent matches Igokea is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

KK Zadar is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Igokea could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Igokea have a series of home games.

Igokea will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Igokea won 14 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 1606:1515 (average 80.3:75.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Igokea won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 843:761 (average 84.3:76.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK Igokea
Adriatic League
11.01.25	Igokea - KK Split	92:87 ✺
30.12.24	Igokea - Mornar Bar	101:97 OT ✺
24.12.24	Dubai - Igokea	92:81 ✺
21.12.24	Igokea - FMP Beograd	83:70 ✺
Champions League Basketball
18.12.24	Igokea - s.Oliver Wurzburg	83:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWL
- KK Zadar
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
16.01.25	KK Zadar - KK Split	59:54 ✺
12.01.25	Cibona - KK Zadar	65:77 ✺
Adriatic League
10.01.25	KK Zadar - Cibona	82:69 ✺
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
05.01.25	Vrijednosnice Osijek - KK Zadar	60:58 ✺
Adriatic League
03.01.25	KK Split - KK Zadar	73:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Adriatic League
25.09.24	KK Zadar - Igokea	76:79 OT
07.03.24	KK Zadar - Igokea	74:59
24.11.23	Igokea - KK Zadar	100:94 OT
24.03.23	KK Zadar - Igokea	67:68
09.12.22	Igokea - KK Zadar	81:84
11.03.22	Igokea - KK Zadar	79:67
18.11.21	KK Zadar - Igokea	64:77

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