Match Info

ABA League - Relegation - Final

Date: 4 June 2025, Wednesday

Location: Hala Tivoli (Ljubljana)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	Arena Sport 1


	Ilirija		Cibona

	1	2
	1.45	2.5
	1.48	2.45	Watch
	1.53	2.5
	1.54	2.35	Watch
	1.5	2.47
	1.48	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.48)	2.45 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilirija
62.1%

Cibona
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilirija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Cibona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilirija than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cibona than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Ilirija - Cibona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
0. Golson V.	13. Majcunic I.
15. Jockuch K.	6. Perasovic I.
35. Kures L.	3. Radovcic K.
11. Mikus M.	33. Rikic R.
8. Tomazic T.	7. Skoric L.
Substitutes
9. Faganel L.	5. Aranitovic P.
4. Ferme T.	21. Bart V.
3. Gabrijel B.	8. Bundovic F.
23. Nosakhare B.	2. Rocak T.
6. Skorjanc G.	9. Smajlagic S.
5. Strnad L.	1. Vukovic D.
Coaches
. Modric S.	. Sesar J.

Preview

Ilirija leads series 1-0. 2nd leg.

Ilirija has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cibona is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Cibona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ilirija is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Ilirija will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ilirija won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 93:88.

Last Results with these Odds

Cibona - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.26%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KD Ilirija
Slovenian Liga Basketball
01.06.25	Ilirija - Krka	67:83 ✺
Adriatic League
29.05.25	Cibona - Ilirija	88:93 ✺
Slovenian Liga Basketball
26.05.25	Krka - Ilirija	89:67 ✺
23.05.25	Ilirija - Tajfun Šentjur	94:89 OT ✺
17.05.25	Tajfun Šentjur - Ilirija	61:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLWW
- KK Cibona
Adriatic League
29.05.25	Cibona - Ilirija	88:93 ✺
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
26.05.25	Cibona - KK Zadar	70:80 ✺
23.05.25	KK Zadar - Cibona	81:76 ✺
20.05.25	Cibona - Kvarner	99:63 ✺
17.05.25	Kvarner - Cibona	88:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Adriatic League
29.05.25	Cibona - Ilirija	88:93

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