Match Info

EUROPE: ABA League 2 - Winners stage - Round 1

Date: 14 January 2025, Tuesday

Location: Hala Tivoli (Ljubljana)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	Arena Sport 4


	Ilirija		Virtus Zagreb

	1	2
			Watch
	1.7	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.48)	2.05 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilirija
54.7%

Virtus Zagreb
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilirija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ilirija's form might have worsened.

Virtus Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Virtus Zagreb's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilirija than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ilirija, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Zagreb than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Virtus Zagreb, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Ilirija - Virtus Zagreb Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ilirija will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Virtus will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
0. Golson V.	10. Brzoja M.
15. Jockuch K.	23. Buljan T.
35. Kures L.	7. Krajnovic L.
7. Orel A.	71. Sly B.
8. Tomazic T.	8. Sobin J.
Substitutes
9. Faganel L.	55. Anzulovic L.
4. Ferme T.	4. Jelic M.
3. Gabrijel B.	3. Karacic I.
11. Mikus M.	6. Sare N.
23. Nosakhare B.	13. Subasic D.
2. Padjen M.	9. Zemljic N.
6. Skorjanc G.
Coaches
. Modric S.	. Repesa D.

Preview

Recent matches Ilirija is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cedevita Junior is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ilirija could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ilirija will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KD Ilirija
Slovenian Liga Basketball
08.01.25	Krka - Ilirija	81:79 ✺
04.01.25	Ilirija - Triglav Kranj	85:79 ✺
Slovenian Cup Basketball
26.12.24	Ilirija - Cedevita Olimpija	80:97 ✺
Slovenian Liga Basketball
23.12.24	Podcetrtek - Ilirija	93:91 ✺
Adriatic League 2
16.12.24	Ilirija - GKK Šibenka	80:54 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LWLLW
- KK Virtus Zagreb
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
11.01.25	Kvarner - Virtus Zagreb	59:75 ✺
05.01.25	Virtus Zagreb - Dubrovnik	102:79 ✺
30.12.24	KK Split - Virtus Zagreb	82:92 ✺
22.12.24	Virtus Zagreb - Cibona	85:83 ✺
Adriatic League 2
19.12.24	KK MZT Skopje - Virtus Zagreb	87:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWL

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