The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Illiabum 56.9%
Galitos Barreiro 43.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
55.4%
44.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53%
47%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Illiabum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
Galitos Barreiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illiabum than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galitos Barreiro than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Illiabum - Galitos Barreiro Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 74:72
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Alston A.
23. Charles E.
4. Evans T.
13. Coelho A.
28. Leite L.
88. Machado D.
30. Nunes F.
9. Silva T.
3. Woodson D.
3. Tavares G.
Substitutes
5. Barreira L.
14. Carvalho G.
44. Caldeira S.
10. Guerreiro R. (C)
7. Cordeniz S.
8. Santos P.
9. Lopes P.
26. Silva J.
20. Martins J.
10. Ramos M.
14. Sico M. (C)
Coaches
. Rui Sousa Varelas Campos J.
. Martins A.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Illiabum won 1.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Both teams have recently been through a succession of home fixtures.
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Illiabum has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1216:1296 (averaging 76:81 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Illiabum against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 627:649 goals (averaging 78.4:81.1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
L
Pts
8
Galitos Barreiro
4
2
2
286:293
6
9
Illiabum
4
2
2
287:305
6
Last Results with these Odds
Illiabum - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 55.38%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.
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Alston A. 
Coelho A. 
Woodson D. 
Ramos M. 
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