Match Info

PORTUGAL: PROLIGA - WINNERS STAGE

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Pavilhão Capitão Adriano Nordeste (Ílhavo)


	Illiabum		Galitos Barreiro

	1	2
	2	1.7
	2.02	1.8
	2.03	1.8
	2.05	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (2)	1.75 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illiabum
46.4%

Galitos Barreiro
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illiabum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Galitos Barreiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illiabum than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galitos Barreiro than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Illiabum - Galitos Barreiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:82

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Illiabum won 2.

Recent matches Illiabum is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Galitos is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Illiabum could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Illiabum won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 1077-1132.

Including matches at home between the teams Illiabum won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 553-564.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Illiabum Clube
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
02.03.24	CAQ Queluz - Illiabum	82:77 ✺
24.02.24	Illiabum - Madeira	84:80 ✺
17.02.24	Santo André - Illiabum	66:69 ✺
04.02.24	Braga - Illiabum	60:61 ✺
27.01.24	Illiabum - Académica Coimbra	67:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWWL
- Galitos Barreiro
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
02.03.24	Galitos Barreiro - Braga	97:81 ✺
18.02.24	Galitos Barreiro - Alianca Sangalhos	90:75 ✺
10.02.24	Maia - Galitos Barreiro	66:86 ✺
04.02.24	Santo André - Galitos Barreiro	71:69 ✺
27.01.24	Galitos Barreiro - CAQ Queluz	102:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Proliga Basketball
08.04.23	Illiabum - Galitos Barreiro	99:103
11.03.23	Galitos Barreiro - Illiabum	90:92
Portuguese LPB
11.01.20	Illiabum - Galitos Barreiro	85:90 OT (69:69)
19.10.19	Galitos Barreiro - Illiabum	81:78
20.04.19	Galitos Barreiro - Illiabum	68:73
23.03.19	Illiabum - Galitos Barreiro	75:85
08.03.19	Illiabum - Galitos Barreiro	89:73

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