Match Info
Proliga - Play Offs - Semi-finalsDate: 16 May 2026, SaturdayLocation: Pavilhao Clube Amigos do Basquete (Funchal)
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Madeira |
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Illiabum |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.48 |
|
2.3 |
|
 |
1.46 |
|
2.43 |
|
 |
1.53 |
|
2.32 |
 Watch |
 |
1.5 |
|
2.4 |
|
 |
1.54 |
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2.32 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.5 ↑
(1.45) |
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2.35 ↑
(2.33) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 147.25
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
- The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Madeira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Illiabum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madeira than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Madeira that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illiabum than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Illiabum could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Madeira - Illiabum Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:72 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
24.  Eberhart T.
| 34.  Arikawe T.
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3.  Embalo J.
| 10.  Martinho J.
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4. Ferreira B. (C)
| 12.  Neto H.
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13.  Gallina J.
| 30. Nunes F.
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15. Newman M.
| 3. Rayquawndis M. (C)
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| Coaches |
|---|
. Fernandes M.
| . Fechas C.
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Preview
CAB Madeira leads series 1-0. Second leg.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Madeira won 5.Both teams have been playing unpredictably.Recently, Madeira has had a series of away games. Madeira is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Madeira won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1574:1478. (average 78.7:73.9).Including home matches between the teams, Madeira won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 683:657. (average 75.9:73).
Standings
| | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
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| 2 | Illiabum | 1 | 1 | 0 | 85:75 | 2 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Portuguese Proliga Basketball | | | 09.05.26 | Illiabum - Madeira | 74:88 | | 14.03.26 | Madeira - Illiabum | 68:64 | | 24.01.26 | Illiabum - Madeira | 65:67 | | 03.05.25 | Illiabum - Madeira | 69:80 | | 08.03.25 | Madeira - Illiabum | 65:61 | | 21.03.24 | Madeira - Illiabum | 79:77 OT | | 24.02.24 | Illiabum - Madeira | 84:80 |
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