Match Info

Proliga - Winners stage - Round 6

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Pavilhão Capitão Adriano Nordeste (Ílhavo)


	Illiabum		Portimonense

	1	2
	1.7	1.91
	1.72	1.95
	1.71	1.99	Watch
	1.73	1.95
	1.7	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.66)	1.96 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 148.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illiabum
53.4%

Portimonense
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illiabum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Portimonense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illiabum than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Illiabum - Portimonense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:73

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Arikawe T.	11. Fall C.
10. Martinho J.	1. Fragoso D. (C)
12. Neto H.	9. Grewal J.
30. Nunes F.	6. Mota J.
3. Rayquawndis M.	22. Staine F.
Substitutes
35. Alves D.	4. Marreiros R.
44. Caldeira S.	10. Palhau A.
7. Costa P.	0. Parrinha A.
15. Cristo R.	2. Queiroz M.
9. Lopes P.	13. Santinhos G.
20. Martins J.	00. Semedo R.
14. Sico M. (C)	8. Sotta H.
Coaches
. Fechas C.	. Almeida C.

Preview

Recent performances by Illiabum have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Portimonense is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Portimonense will win today's game, with odds of 1.96.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Illiabum won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 308:326. (average 77:81.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Illiabum won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 163:163. (average 81.5:81.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
5	Illiabum	2	1	1	142:136	3

Last Results with these Odds

Illiabum - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 54.35%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Illiabum Clube
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
21.02.26	Illiabum - Imortal B	90:92 OT ✺
14.02.26	Ginásio Olhanense - Illiabum	67:71 ✺
07.02.26	Illiabum - Povoa	68:75 ✺
31.01.26	Maia - Illiabum	75:79 ✺
24.01.26	Illiabum - Madeira	65:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLWL
- Portimonense Basketball
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
21.02.26	Portimonense - Maia	78:74 ✺
15.02.26	Imortal B - Portimonense	78:86 OT ✺
07.02.26	Portimonense - Madeira	70:67 OT ✺
31.01.26	Portimonense - Ginásio Olhanense	82:72 ✺
24.01.26	Casino Ginásio - Portimonense	72:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Proliga Basketball
29.03.25	Illiabum - Portimonense	80:70
08.02.25	Portimonense - Illiabum	76:60
25.03.23	Illiabum - Portimonense	83:93
25.02.23	Portimonense - Illiabum	87:85

Illiabum - Portimonense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide