Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday


	Illinois Fighting Illini		Michigan State Spartans

	1	2
	1.34	3.35
	1.32	3.2	Watch
	1.34	3.4
	1.34	3.25	Watch
	1.3	3.4
	1.36	3.33
	1.31	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.43)	3.31 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 158.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

Watch this match and NCAA College Basketball with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX (KNIN-Boise, ID)

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Current Win Probability

Illinois Fighting Illini
71.3%

Michigan State Spartans
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illinois Fighting Illini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Illinois Fighting Illini's performance.

Michigan State Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Michigan State Spartans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illinois Fighting Illini than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michigan State Spartans than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Illinois Fighting Illini - Michigan State Spartans Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:76

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Illinois won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Illinois is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Illinois to win the game is with odds 1.39.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Illinois won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 1276:1370 (average 63.8:68.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Illinois won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 609:631 (average 60.9:63.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Illinois Fighting Illini basketball
NCAA College Basketball
11.02.25	Illinois Fighting Illini - UCLA Bruins	83:78 ✺
08.02.25	Minnesota Golden Gophers - Illinois Fighting Illini	74:95 ✺
05.02.25	Rutgers Scarlet Knights - Illinois Fighting Illini	82:73 ✺
02.02.25	Illinois Fighting Illini - Ohio State Buckeyes	87:79 ✺
30.01.25	Nebraska Cornhuskers - Illinois Fighting Illini	80:74 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWLWL
- Michigan State Spartans basketball
NCAA College Basketball
11.02.25	Michigan State Spartans - Indiana Hoosiers	67:71 ✺
08.02.25	Michigan State Spartans - Oregon Ducks	86:74 ✺
04.02.25	UCLA Bruins - Michigan State Spartans	63:61 ✺
01.02.25	USC Trojans - Michigan State Spartans	70:64 ✺
28.01.25	Michigan State Spartans - Minnesota Golden Gophers	73:51 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
19.01.25	Michigan State Spartans - Illinois Fighting Illini	80:78
10.02.24	Michigan State Spartans - Illinois Fighting Illini	88:80
11.01.24	Illinois Fighting Illini - Michigan State Spartans	68:71
13.01.23	Illinois Fighting Illini - Michigan State Spartans	75:66
19.02.22	Michigan State Spartans - Illinois Fighting Illini	74:79
25.01.22	Illinois Fighting Illini - Michigan State Spartans	56:55
23.02.21	Michigan State Spartans - Illinois Fighting Illini	81:72

Illinois Fighting Illini - Michigan State Spartans: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide