Match Info

NCAA

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday


	Indiana Hoosiers		Louisville Cardinals

	1	2
	2.5	1.56
	2.39	1.54
	2.46	1.58
	2.35	1.54	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.32	1.55
	2.4	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.66)	1.56 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Indiana Hoosiers
39.3%

Louisville Cardinals
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

65%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

65.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Indiana Hoosiers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Louisville Cardinals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indiana Hoosiers than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Indiana Hoosiers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisville Cardinals than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Louisville Cardinals could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Indiana Hoosiers - Louisville Cardinals Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:82

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Indiana won 2.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Louisville may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Indiana has had a series of home games.

Louisville is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Indiana won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 401:464. (average 66.8:77.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Indiana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 191:233. (average 63.7:77.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Indiana Hoosiers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
03.12.25	Minnesota Golden Gophers - Indiana Hoosiers	73:64 ✺
29.11.25	Indiana Hoosiers - Bethune-Cookman Wildcats	100:56 ✺
25.11.25	Indiana Hoosiers - Kansas State Wildcats	86:69 ✺
20.11.25	Indiana Hoosiers - Lindenwood Lions	73:53 ✺
16.11.25	Indiana Hoosiers - Incarnate Word Cardinals	69:61 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWWWW
- Louisville Cardinals basketball
NCAA College Basketball
03.12.25	Arkansas Razorbacks - Louisville Cardinals	89:80 ✺
26.11.25	Louisville Cardinals - NJIT Highlanders	104:47 ✺
24.11.25	Louisville Cardinals - Eastern Michigan Eagles	87:46 ✺
21.11.25	Cincinnati Bearcats - Louisville Cardinals	64:74 ✺
15.11.25	Louisville Cardinals - Ohio Bobcats	106:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
27.11.24	Indiana Hoosiers - Louisville Cardinals	61:89
20.11.23	Louisville Cardinals - Indiana Hoosiers	66:74
08.12.18	Indiana Hoosiers - Louisville Cardinals	68:67
09.12.17	Louisville Cardinals - Indiana Hoosiers	71:62
31.12.16	Indiana Hoosiers - Louisville Cardinals	62:77
09.12.14	Louisville Cardinals - Indiana Hoosiers	94:74

Indiana Hoosiers - Louisville Cardinals: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide