Match Info

NCAA

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday


	Indiana State Sycamores		Illinois State Redbirds

	1	2
	3.25	1.36
	3.1	1.33
	2.97	1.35	Watch
	3.15	1.33
	3.23	1.34
	3.4	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↓ (3.21)	1.34 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 143.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Indiana State Sycamores
29.6%

Illinois State Redbirds
70.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

70.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

61.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Indiana State Sycamores has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Illinois State Redbirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indiana State Sycamores than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Indiana State Sycamores, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illinois State Redbirds than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Illinois State Redbirds, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Indiana State Sycamores - Illinois State Redbirds Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 148.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 69:75

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Indiana State won 2.

Indiana State has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Illinois State has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Illinois State may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Illinois State is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Indiana State won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1406:1406. (average 70.3:70.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Indiana State won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 572:510. (average 71.5:63.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Indiana State Sycamores basketball
NCAA College Basketball
10.01.26	Indiana State Sycamores - Evansville Purple Aces	69:72 ✺
04.01.26	Drake Bulldogs - Indiana State Sycamores	74:72 ✺
01.01.26	Northern Iowa Panthers - Indiana State Sycamores	75:66 ✺
29.12.25	Indiana State Sycamores - Belmont Bruins	81:80 OT ✺
21.12.25	Illinois State Redbirds - Indiana State Sycamores	85:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLLWL
- Illinois State Redbirds basketball
NCAA College Basketball
10.01.26	Illinois State Redbirds - Illinois-Chicago Flames	59:63 OT ✺
07.01.26	Valparaiso Beacons - Illinois State Redbirds	77:71 ✺
01.01.26	Illinois State Redbirds - Evansville Purple Aces	73:47 ✺
29.12.25	Drake Bulldogs - Illinois State Redbirds	56:73 ✺
21.12.25	Illinois State Redbirds - Indiana State Sycamores	85:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
21.12.25	Illinois State Redbirds - Indiana State Sycamores	85:65
15.02.25	Indiana State Sycamores - Illinois State Redbirds	85:76
21.01.25	Illinois State Redbirds - Indiana State Sycamores	85:81
13.02.24	Indiana State Sycamores - Illinois State Redbirds	67:80
18.02.23	Indiana State Sycamores - Illinois State Redbirds	80:64
04.01.23	Illinois State Redbirds - Indiana State Sycamores	67:76
03.03.22	Illinois State Redbirds - Indiana State Sycamores	58:53

Indiana State Sycamores - Illinois State Redbirds: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide