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Current Win Probability
Indios de Mayagüez 47%
Leones de Ponce 53%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.3%
44.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.8%
41.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Indios de Mayagüez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Indios de Mayagüez's form might have worsened.
Leones de Ponce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leones de Ponce's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indios de Mayagüez than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Indios de Mayagüez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones de Ponce than the current prediction. (-11.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leones de Ponce, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Indios de Mayagüez - Leones de Ponce Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:93
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Lineups
12. Alvarez N.
33. Caballero F.
0. Camacho B.
20. Crutcher J.
13. Cotto R.
0. De Jesus J. (C)
33. Cuascut L.
39. Fernandez T.
1. Erazo J. (C)
17. Figueroa O.
6. Gaiter I.
77. Lezcano J.
7. Garcia J.
45. Manek B.
23. Gaston C.
34. Murphy J.
4. German E.
22. Negron C.
24. Harrison T.
2. Powell B.
10. Lopez-Sosa C.
51. Ramos E.
15. Placer J.
36. Robinson T.
29. Ruiz J.
21. Santos K.
22. Santiago B.
1. Vazquez A.
20. Sobey N.
30. Walker J.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Indios de Mayagüez won 3.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Indios de Mayagüez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Indios de Mayagüez has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Indios de Mayagüez won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1701:1703. (average 85.1:85.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Indios de Mayagüez won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 693:693. (average 86.6:86.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Leones de Ponce - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 44.72%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
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Alvarez N. 
Crutcher J. 
Harrison T. 
Ramos E. 
Ruiz J. 
Sobey N. 
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