Match Info

BSN - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 4 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: Auditorio Juan Pachín Vicéns (Ponce)


	Leones de Ponce		Santeros de Aguada

	1	2
	1.50	2.35
	1.50	2.43
	1.57	2.25
	1.5	2.38	Watch
	1.43	2.55
	1.47	2.39
	1.53	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.59)	2.4 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 184.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leones de Ponce
61.6%

Santeros de Aguada
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leones de Ponce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Santeros de Aguada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones de Ponce than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santeros de Aguada than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Leones de Ponce - Santeros de Aguada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 94:90

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Crutcher J.	8. Camper M.
0. De Jesus J. (C)	10. Gandia-Rosa I. (C)
39. Fernandez T.	26. Mendoza R.
45. Manek B.	25. Soriano J.
36. Robinson T.	31. Wiley J.
Substitutes
33. Caballero F.	5. Allende L.
17. Figueroa O.	15. Febres J.
77. Lezcano J.	2. Lee M.
34. Murphy J.	14. Martinez M.
22. Negron C.	13. Morales R.
2. Powell B.	24. Perez H.
51. Ramos E.	9. Ralat A.
21. Santos K.	1. Rosado G.
1. Vazquez A.	12. Toro A.
30. Walker J.

Preview

Aguada Santeros leads series 3-2. Sixth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leones de Ponce won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leones de Ponce won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1829:1819. (average 91.5:91).

Including home matches between the teams, Leones de Ponce won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 841:785. (average 93.4:87.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leones de Ponce Basketball
Puerto Rican BSN
02.08.26	Santeros de Aguada - Leones de Ponce	105:106 AET ✺
31.07.26	Leones de Ponce - Santeros de Aguada	89:96 ✺
29.07.26	Santeros de Aguada - Leones de Ponce	100:89 ✺
27.07.26	Leones de Ponce - Santeros de Aguada	87:80 ✺
25.07.26	Santeros de Aguada - Leones de Ponce	93:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLWL
- Santeros de Aguada
Puerto Rican BSN
02.08.26	Santeros de Aguada - Leones de Ponce	105:106 AET ✺
31.07.26	Leones de Ponce - Santeros de Aguada	89:96 ✺
29.07.26	Santeros de Aguada - Leones de Ponce	100:89 ✺
27.07.26	Leones de Ponce - Santeros de Aguada	87:80 ✺
25.07.26	Santeros de Aguada - Leones de Ponce	93:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Puerto Rican BSN
02.08.26	Santeros de Aguada - Leones de Ponce	105:106 AET
31.07.26	Leones de Ponce - Santeros de Aguada	89:96
29.07.26	Santeros de Aguada - Leones de Ponce	100:89
27.07.26	Leones de Ponce - Santeros de Aguada	87:80
25.07.26	Santeros de Aguada - Leones de Ponce	93:70
26.06.26	Santeros de Aguada - Leones de Ponce	95:109
06.06.26	Leones de Ponce - Santeros de Aguada	98:91

Leones de Ponce - Santeros de Aguada: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide