Match Info

NCAA - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Denmark	19:45	DAZN
Finland	20:45	DAZN


	Iowa State Cyclones		Kentucky Wildcats

	1	2
	1.37	3
	1.48	2.7
	1.4	2.75
	1.44	2.97
	1.46	2.55	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.45	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (2.68)	2.76 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 146.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iowa State Cyclones
65.9%

Kentucky Wildcats
34.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.9%

65.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iowa State Cyclones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+31%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Iowa State Cyclones's performance.

Kentucky Wildcats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-31%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kentucky Wildcats might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iowa State Cyclones than the current prediction. (-26.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Iowa State Cyclones that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kentucky Wildcats than the current prediction. (+26.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kentucky Wildcats could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Iowa State Cyclones - Kentucky Wildcats Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:71

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Preview

Iowa State is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kentucky has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Iowa State will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Iowa State won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.

Outrights of NCAA College Basketball for now

Iowa State: 0.53%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iowa State Cyclones basketball
NCAA College Basketball
20.03.26	Iowa State Cyclones - Tennessee State Tigers	108:74 ✺
13.03.26	Arizona Wildcats - Iowa State Cyclones	82:80 ✺
12.03.26	Texas Tech Red Raiders - Iowa State Cyclones	53:75 ✺
11.03.26	Iowa State Cyclones - Arizona State Sun Devils	91:42 ✺
07.03.26	Iowa State Cyclones - Arizona State Sun Devils	86:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWWW
- Kentucky Wildcats basketball
NCAA College Basketball
20.03.26	Kentucky Wildcats - Santa Clara Broncos	89:84 OT ✺
13.03.26	Florida Gators - Kentucky Wildcats	71:63 ✺
12.03.26	Missouri Tigers - Kentucky Wildcats	72:78 ✺
11.03.26	Kentucky Wildcats - LSU Tigers	87:82 ✺
07.03.26	Kentucky Wildcats - Florida Gators	77:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
17.03.12	Kentucky Wildcats - Iowa State Cyclones	N/A

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iowa State Cyclones basketball
NCAA College Basketball
02.11.26	Iowa State Cyclones - Memphis Tigers	✺

Iowa State Cyclones - Kentucky Wildcats