Match Info

Basket League - Round 4

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Ivanofeio Sports Arena (Thessaloniki)


	Iraklis		AEK Athens

	1	2
			Watch
	3	1.34	Watch
	2.91	1.4
	2.54	1.45	Watch
	2.87	1.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.54)	1.4 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iraklis
33%

AEK Athens
67%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

62%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iraklis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iraklis than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Iraklis - AEK Athens Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Iraklis will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). AEK will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Iraklis: 64.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Iraklis will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. Moraitis D. (C)	25. Arms A.
5. Smith C.	24. Bartley F.
16. Syllas C.	7. Flionis D. (C)
11. Ware L.	0. Gray R.
3. Wright-Foreman J.	30. Silva C.
Substitutes
14. Christidis V.	11. Arsenopoulos N.
2. Darko-Kelly Z.	33. Charalampopoulos V.
4. Foster K.	4. Katsivelis D.
0. Funderburk D.	19. Kuzminskas M.
12. Kabouridis K.	9. Lekavicius L.
8. Poulianitis M.	15. Pecarski M.
7. Tsiakmas N.	1. Skordilis G.
Coaches
. Sigalas G.	. Sakota D.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Iraklis won 1.

Iraklis has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

AEK is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

AEK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

AEK could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that AEK will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Iraklis won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 458:496. (average 76.3:82.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Iraklis won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 226:230. (average 75.3:76.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iraklis Thessaloniki BC
Greek Basket League A1
18.10.25	Iraklis - Mykonos	73:80 ✺
11.10.25	PAOK - Iraklis	84:82 ✺
04.10.25	Iraklis - Promitheas Patras	90:79 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
11.09.25	Iraklis - Mykonos	93:79 ✺
06.09.25	Vikos - Iraklis	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLWW?
- AEK Athens BC
Greek Basket League A1
18.10.25	AEK Athens - Karditsas	77:62 ✺
Champions League Basketball
15.10.25	AEK Athens - Szolnoki Olaj	91:77 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
12.10.25	AEK Athens - Panionios	93:73 ✺
Champions League Basketball
07.10.25	VEF Riga - AEK Athens	53:69 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
04.10.25	Kolossos Rodou - AEK Athens	85:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Basket League A1
20.04.22	AEK Athens - Iraklis	80:74
11.12.21	Iraklis - AEK Athens	86:74
20.03.21	AEK Athens - Iraklis	100:97 OT (85:85)
12.12.20	Iraklis - AEK Athens	72:79
07.03.20	AEK Athens - Iraklis	86:61
16.11.19	Iraklis - AEK Athens	68:77

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