Match Info

Champions League - Round 1

Date: 7 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Xiaomi Arena (Riga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 4
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	DAZN


	VEF Riga		AEK Athens

	1	2
	3.15	1.32	Watch
	3.55	1.25	Watch
	3.81	1.28
	2.93	1.32	Watch
	3.43	1.29	Watch
	2	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.27)	1.37 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VEF Riga
30.3%

AEK Athens
69.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VEF Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that VEF Riga's form might have worsened.

AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AEK Athens's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

VEF Riga - AEK Athens Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5, OT - AEK (1.60) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: AEK Athens will win (15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 60.62% – 97.28%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): AEK Athens will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. VEF (votes: 3 - 15%). AEK (votes: 17 - 85%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:89

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Andzevs A.	25. Arms A.
9. Bertans Dai.	24. Bartley F.
15. Novitskyi R.	7. Flionis D.
0. Porter Z.	0. Gray R.
12. Toro A.	30. Silva C.
Substitutes
7. Aleksandrovs R.	11. Arsenopoulos N.
1. Bumeisters R.	33. Charalampopoulos V.
35. Kilps K.	4. Katsivelis D.
44. Leimanis T.	19. Kuzminskas M.
32. Niedra J.	9. Lekavicius L.
55. Sydorov I.	15. Pecarski M.
11. Vanags R.	1. Skordilis G.
Coaches
. Gulbis M.	. Sakota D.

Preview

AEK has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

VEF may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, AEK is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, VEF won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 310:324. (average 77.5:81).

Including home matches between the teams, VEF won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 161:156. (average 80.5:78).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VEF Riga
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
04.10.25	Ogre - VEF Riga	92:94 ✺
30.09.25	VEF Riga - Keila	122:74 ✺
Latvian LBL
22.05.25	BK Ventspils - VEF Riga	91:93 ✺
19.05.25	VEF Riga - BK Ventspils	89:68 ✺
17.05.25	BK Ventspils - VEF Riga	106:114 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWW
- AEK Athens BC
Greek Basket League A1
04.10.25	Kolossos Rodou - AEK Athens	85:87 ✺
Greek Super Cup Basketball
26.09.25	AEK Athens - Promitheas Patras	70:84 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
17.09.25	AEK Athens - Fenerbahçe	102:102 OT ✺
09.09.25	Vâlcea - AEK Athens	80:99 ✺
08.09.25	AEK Athens - U BT Cluj-Napoca	93:95 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Champions League Basketball
13.11.24	AEK Athens - VEF Riga	80:70
29.10.24	VEF Riga - AEK Athens	69:80
15.11.21	AEK Athens - VEF Riga	88:79
03.11.21	VEF Riga - AEK Athens	92:76

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