Match Info

Segunda FEB - Round 15

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	LaLiga+


	Iraurgi SB		Morón

	1	2
	1.76	1.92
	1.8	1.91
	1.77	1.94
	1.55	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.49)	2.02 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 152.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iraurgi SB
54%

Morón
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iraurgi SB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Iraurgi SB's form might have worsened.

Morón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Morón's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iraurgi SB than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Iraurgi SB, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morón than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Morón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Iraurgi SB - Morón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:75

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Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Morón may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Iraurgi SB has had a series of away games.

Recently, Morón has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Iraurgi SB won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 397:408. (average 79.4:81.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Iraurgi SB won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 238:249. (average 79.3:83).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iraurgi SB
Spanish Segunda FEB Basketball
11.01.26	Logroño - Iraurgi SB	70:65 ✺
04.01.26	Valladolid - Iraurgi SB	87:84 ✺
21.12.25	Jaen - Iraurgi SB	72:81 ✺
14.12.25	Iraurgi SB - Caja 87	90:71 ✺
10.12.25	Ponferrada - Iraurgi SB	66:60 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWWL
- CB Morón
Spanish Segunda FEB Basketball
10.01.26	Morón - Jaen	72:75 ✺
Spanish Copa Espana Basketball
07.01.26	Morón - Baloncesto Fuenlabrada	78:83 ✺
Spanish Segunda FEB Basketball
03.01.26	Morón - Caja 87	72:83 ✺
20.12.25	Ponferrada - Morón	61:77 ✺
13.12.25	Morón - Leonesa	88:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda FEB Basketball
11.10.25	Morón - Iraurgi SB	65:86
16.03.24	Morón - Iraurgi SB	94:73
03.12.23	Iraurgi SB - Morón	73:85
12.01.20	Iraurgi SB - Morón	82:89 OT (77:77)
05.03.17	Iraurgi SB - Morón	83:75

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