Match Info

EuroBasket - Round 5

Date: 4 September 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Spyros Kyprianou Arena (Limassol) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Croatia	17:15	SportKlub
Finland	18:15	Ruutu+
France	17:15	beIN Sports MAX 4
Germany	17:15	Magenta Sport
Greece	18:15	Alpha TV, Nova Sports Start
Italy	17:15	DAZN Italia
Serbia	17:15	Sportklub
Spain	17:15	DAZN Espana
Ukraine	18:15	Kyivstar TV
International	15:15	Court Side 1891


	Italy		Cyprus

	1	2
			Watch
	1	17	Watch
	1.01	25	Watch
	1	46.35
			Watch
	1.01	24
	1	17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1 (1)	25.87 ↑ (17)

The most likely Over/Under: 152.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-35)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Italy
96.3%

Cyprus
3.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

94.4%

5.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Italy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Cyprus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Italy - Cyprus Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Italy will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Cyprus will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cyprus: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Italy (votes: 3 - 60%). Cyprus (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -36.5, OT - Italy (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 157.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 160.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 164 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Italy (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Cyprus (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 94:59

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Diouf M. Virtus Bologna	11. Koumis M. Keravnos
13. Fontecchio S. Detroit Pistons	5. Michail S. Keravnos
9. Melli N. (C) Fenerbahce	3. Simitzis K. AEK Larnaca
54. Pajola A. Virtus Bologna	99. Stylianou N. (C) Keravnos
18. Spagnolo M. Alba Berlin	21. Willis D. Aris
Substitutes
45. Akele N. Virtus Bologna	7. Christodoulou A. AEL Limassol
8. Gallinari D. Vaqueros de Bayamon	10. Giannaras I. AEK Larnaca
20. Niang S. Trento	6. Iliadis S. Anorthosis
19. Procida G. Alba Berlin	9. Jung A. Apoel BC
17. Ricci G. Milano	1. Loizides C. AEK Larnaca
33. Spissu M. Zaragoza	4. Pasiali I. Keravnos
15. Thompson D. Anadolu Efes	13. Tigkas F. Keravnos
Coaches
. Pozzecco G.	. Livadiotis C.

Preview

Italy is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Recent performances by Italy have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cyprus has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Italy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Italy is the undisputed favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Italy basketball
EuroBasket
02.09.25	Italy - Spain	67:63 ✺
31.08.25	Bosnia and Herzegovina - Italy	79:96 ✺
30.08.25	Italy - Georgia	78:62 ✺
28.08.25	Greece - Italy	75:66 ✺
Friendly International Basketball
22.08.25	Greece - Italy	76:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWLL
- Cyprus basketball
EuroBasket
02.09.25	Cyprus - Georgia	61:93 ✺
31.08.25	Spain - Cyprus	91:47 ✺
30.08.25	Cyprus - Greece	69:96 ✺
28.08.25	Bosnia and Herzegovina - Cyprus	91:64 ✺
Friendly International Basketball
10.08.25	Cyprus - Serbia	55:122 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Italy - Cyprus