Match Info
Segunda FEB - Round 21Date: 15 March 2026, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Spain | LaLiga+ |
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 |
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Jaen |
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Leonesa |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.65 |
|
1.36 |
|
 |
2.73 |
|
1.35 |
|
 |
2.62 |
|
1.41 |
 Watch |
 |
2.75 |
|
1.4 |
|
 |
2.58 |
|
1.4 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.67 ↑
(2.18) |
|
1.38 ↓
(1.54) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 164.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)
- The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jaen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jaen's form might have worsened.Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leonesa's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaen than the current prediction. (+12.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jaen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-12.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leonesa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Jaen - Leonesa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:85 
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Preview
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.Jaen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Leonesa will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jaen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 87:92.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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