Match Info

Segunda FEB - Round 16

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	LaLiga+


	Toledo		Leonesa

	1	2
	1.3	2.92
	1.27	3.09
	1.37	2.77	Watch
	1.33	3.25
	1.36	2.72
	1.35	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.34)	2.96 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toledo
69%

Leonesa
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.8%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toledo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toledo than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toledo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leonesa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Toledo - Leonesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:81

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Preview

Recent performances by Toledo have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Leonesa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Toledo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Toledo is the team to beat.

We predict that Toledo will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Toledo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 90:73.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CB Toledo
Spanish Segunda FEB Basketball
17.01.26	Valle de Egüés - Toledo	83:81 ✺
11.01.26	Toledo - Valladolid	87:73 ✺
03.01.26	Cáceres CB - Toledo	95:96 OT ✺
21.12.25	Toledo - Córdoba	76:74 ✺
14.12.25	Clavijo - Toledo	78:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWWL
- CD Leonesa Basketball
Spanish Segunda FEB Basketball
18.01.26	Leonesa - Cáceres CB	94:102 ✺
11.01.26	Córdoba - Leonesa	84:79 ✺
03.01.26	Clavijo - Leonesa	87:78 ✺
21.12.25	Leonesa - Circulo Gijón	102:93 ✺
17.12.25	Valladolid - Leonesa	92:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda FEB Basketball
19.10.25	Leonesa - Toledo	73:90

Toledo - Leonesa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide