Match Info

WORLD: Olympic Games

Date: 2 August 2024, Friday

Location: Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Villeneuve d'Ascq)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SporTV
World	Eurosport 6, Max


	Japan		Brazil

	1	2
	2.9	1.43
	2.8	1.45
	2.7	1.5
	2.85	1.42
	2.69	1.45	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.79	1.47
	2.7	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.14)	1.47 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

Watch this match and Olympic Games - Basketball with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: NBC Universo

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Current Win Probability

Japan
34.8%

Brazil
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Japan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Japan's form might have worsened.

Brazil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brazil's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Japan than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Japan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brazil than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brazil, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.4%	0%	68.6%

Japan - Brazil Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Japan will win (votes: 11 - 31.4%). Brazil will win (votes: 24 - 68.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brazil: 53.2% – 84%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:86

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Lineups


18. Baba Y. Nagasaki	8. Benite V. Palencia
8. Hachimura R. Los Angeles Lakers	51. Caboclo B. Partizan
24. Hawkinson J. Sun Rockers Shibuya	45. Cardoso Pereira J. M. Memphis Grizzlies
6. Hiejima M. Utsunomiya Brex	32. de Paula G. Ulm
5. Kawamura Y. Yokohama	99. Dias L. Franca
4. Tajon Akira J.	6. Felicio C. Fundacion Granada
7. Toews K. Alvark Tokyo	9. Huertas M. (C) Tenerife
2. Togashi Y. (C) Chiba	7. Louzada D. Flamengo
30. Tominaga K.	14. Meindl L. Alvark Tokyo
34. Watanabe H. Ryukyu (Okinawa)	23. Neto R. Fenerbahce
12. Watanabe Y. Memphis Grizzlies	11. Santos G. Golden State Warriors
91. Yoshii H. Alvark Tokyo	2. Yago Crvena zvezda
Coaches
. Hovasse T.	. Petrovic A.

Preview

Japan has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Brazil is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Japan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Japan basketball
Olympic Games - Basketball
30.07.24	Japan - France	84:92 OT ✺
27.07.24	Germany - Japan	97:77 ✺
Friendly International Basketball
21.07.24	Serbia - Japan	119:100 ✺
19.07.24	Germany - Japan	104:83 ✺
05.07.24	Japan - South Korea	84:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Brazil basketball
Olympic Games - Basketball
30.07.24	Brazil - Germany	73:86 ✺
27.07.24	France - Brazil	78:66 ✺
07.07.24	Latvia - Brazil	69:94 ✺
06.07.24	Brazil - Philippines	71:60 ✺
04.07.24	Cameroon - Brazil	77:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLWWL

Japan - Brazil: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide