Match Info

World Cup Women - Round 3

Date: 7 September 2026, Monday

Location: Max-Schmeling-Halle (Berlin)


	Japan W		Spain W

	1	2
	6.00	1.11	Watch
	5.00	1.15
	4.80	1.17	Watch
	4.44	1.22
	5.5	1.13
	4.35	1.20
	4.60	1.18
	5.20	1.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.99 ↑ (3.51)	1.16 ↓ (1.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 149.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-12)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Japan W
18.9%

Spain W
81.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

73.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Japan W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Japan W's form might have worsened.

Spain W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spain W's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Japan W - Spain W Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Japan will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Spain will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Japan (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 157.5, OT - over (3.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2.5, OT - Japan (5.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Japan (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 69:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Hayashi S. Fujitsu	14. Carrera R. New York Liberty
3. Mawuli S. Casademont Zaragoza	5. Cazorla M. Atlanta Dream
26. Tanaka K.	10. Conde M. Toronto Tempo
75. Todo N.	44. Martin I. Perfumerias Avenida
10. Tokashiki R.	11. Thiam A. Seattle Storm
Substitutes
14. Asahina A.	2. Buenavida E. Valencia
6. Goto O.	17. DiLeo M. Portland Fire
2. Konno N.	18. Florez A. Washington Mystics
13. Machida R. Fujitsu	20. Ginzo P. Zabiny Brno
52. Miyazawa Yuki (C) Fujitsu	4. Ortiz M. Casademont Zaragoza
8. Takada M.	9. Pueyo H. Casademont Zaragoza
23. Yamamoto M. Las Vegas Aces	7. Torrens A. (C)
Coaches
. Gaines C.	. Mendez M.

Preview

Japan has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Spain is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Japan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Spain is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Japan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 347:394. (average 69.4:78.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Japan W basketball
World Cup Basketball Women
05.09.26	Germany W - Japan W	74:58 ✺
04.09.26	Japan W - Mali W	102:97 ✺
Friendly International Basketball Women
30.08.26	Belgium W - Japan W	89:85 OT ✺
28.08.26	Belgium W - Japan W	78:77 ✺
14.08.26	Japan W - South Korea W	78:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LWLLW
- Spain W basketball
World Cup Basketball Women
05.09.26	Mali W - Spain W	82:73 ✺
04.09.26	Spain W - Germany W	83:53 ✺
Friendly International Basketball Women
29.08.26	Spain W - Mali W	97:58 ✺
23.08.26	Spain W - Belgium W	95:67 ✺
21.08.26	Spain W - Nigeria W	83:58 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Olympic Games - Basketball Women
08.02.24	Spain W - Japan W	75:86
World Cup Basketball Women
22.09.18	Japan W - Spain W	70:84
Friendly International Basketball Women
15.09.18	Spain W - Japan W	94:90 OT (78:78)
28.05.17	Spain W - Japan W	67:51
World Cup Basketball Women
27.09.14	Japan W - Spain W	50:74

Japan W - Spain W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide