Match Info

LKL

Date: 30 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Utenos arena (Utena)


	Juventus Utena		BC Wolves

	1	2
			Watch
	2.5	1.45
	2.88	1.37	Watch
	3.15	1.3
	2.76	1.4	Watch
	2.62	1.44
	2.76	1.41	Watch
	2.82	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.24)	1.39 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 176.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventus Utena
33.3%

BC Wolves
66.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventus Utena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juventus Utena's form might have worsened.

BC Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting BC Wolves's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventus Utena than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juventus Utena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BC Wolves than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for BC Wolves, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Juventus Utena - BC Wolves Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Juventus (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:91

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Green D.	22. Blazevic M.
10. Kesteloot V.	4. Brooks G.
16. Lukosiunas K.	1. Cowan Jr. A.
41. Sukhmail M.	44. Taylor J.
2. Thorpe L.	15. Thurman T.
Substitutes
9. Beliauskas L.	12. Andrews A.
14. Beniusis S. (C)	9. Baslyk D.
66. Didzgalvis T.	23. Jogela M.
3. Ramanauskas J.	98. Kulboka A.
5. Saulys E.	11. Marcinkevicius J.
12. Sederevicius E.	10. Miniotas R. (C)
	13. Zemaitis K.
Coaches
. Kemzura K.	. Magro A.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Juventus won 2.

Juventus is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games, wins - 1).

Recent matches Wolves is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games, wins - 2).

Wolves could have physical problems compared to their opponent - in recent days, they have played more matches than their opponents.

Wolves will have a small advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Juventus won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 902:990 (average 82:90).

Including matches at home between the teams, Juventus won 1 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 356:358 (average 89:89.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventus Utena
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
26.04.25	Juventus Utena - Žalgiris Kaunas	75:96 ✺
23.04.25	Jonava - Juventus Utena	78:72 ✺
21.04.25	Juventus Utena - Neptūnas	100:94 ✺
16.04.25	Rytas - Juventus Utena	90:75 ✺
13.04.25	Juventus Utena - Jonava	109:115 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLWLL
- BC Wolves
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
27.04.25	BC Wolves - Lietkabelis	88:92 ✺
22.04.25	Šiauliai - BC Wolves	85:92 ✺
19.04.25	BC Wolves - Žalgiris Kaunas	69:81 ✺
15.04.25	Neptūnas - BC Wolves	85:97 ✺
12.04.25	BC Wolves - Nevėžis Kedainiai	94:99 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
23.03.25	BC Wolves - Juventus Utena	87:83
15.12.24	Juventus Utena - BC Wolves	100:110
19.10.24	BC Wolves - Juventus Utena	67:72
30.03.24	BC Wolves - Juventus Utena	100:88
09.12.23	Juventus Utena - BC Wolves	96:68
05.11.23	BC Wolves - Juventus Utena	77:71
27.04.23	BC Wolves - Juventus Utena	106:79

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