Match Info

LKL - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 3 June 2026, Wednesday

Location: Utenos arena (Utena)


	Juventus Utena		Neptūnas

	1	2
	1.98	1.75
	2.01	1.75
	2.01	1.73	Watch
	2	1.7
	2.05	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.78)	1.72 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 177.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventus Utena
46.1%

Neptūnas
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventus Utena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juventus Utena's form might have worsened.

Neptūnas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Neptūnas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventus Utena than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neptūnas than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Juventus Utena - Neptūnas Predictions

Users Predictions: Juventus Utena will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Juventus Utena will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:90

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Beniusis S. (C)	21. Berucka A.
11. Diarra H.	6. Lomazs R.
22. Lewis M.	25. Silins K.
10. Uleckas L.	1. Tarolis D.
66. Valinskas P.	11. Velicka A.
Substitutes
0. Chery K.	0. Cleary H.
6. Didzgalvis T.	8. Girdziunas M.
1. Johnson M.	15. Klanjscek M.
23. Mockus M.	10. Kozys V.
5. Saulys E.	13. Majauskas A.
21. Venskus E.	9. Pacevicius M. (C)
13. Vranes I.	24. Waterman Z.
Coaches
. Eglinskas L.	. Petrauskas G.

Preview

Juventus leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventus won 3.

Juventus is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Neptūnas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Juventus won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1779:1817. (average 89:90.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Juventus won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 924:916. (average 92.4:91.6).

Outrights of Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga for now

Neptunas: 2.92% Juventus: 1.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
3	Neptunas	4	2	2	335:326	0.500
6	Juventus	4	2	2	353:337	0.500

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventus Utena
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
01.06.26	Neptūnas - Juventus Utena	102:84 ✺
29.05.26	Juventus Utena - Neptūnas	86:83 ✺
27.05.26	Neptūnas - Juventus Utena	83:96 ✺
23.05.26	Rytas - Juventus Utena	95:101 ✺
21.05.26	Juventus Utena - Rytas	92:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27 LWWWW
- BC Neptūnas Klaipeda
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
01.06.26	Neptūnas - Juventus Utena	102:84 ✺
29.05.26	Juventus Utena - Neptūnas	86:83 ✺
27.05.26	Neptūnas - Juventus Utena	83:96 ✺
23.05.26	Gargždai - Neptūnas	74:84 ✺
21.05.26	Neptūnas - Gargždai	100:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
01.06.26	Neptūnas - Juventus Utena	102:84
29.05.26	Juventus Utena - Neptūnas	86:83
27.05.26	Neptūnas - Juventus Utena	83:96
02.05.26	Juventus Utena - Neptūnas	102:91
06.04.26	Neptūnas - Juventus Utena	95:89
15.11.25	Juventus Utena - Neptūnas	90:97
08.11.25	Neptūnas - Juventus Utena	85:72

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