Match Info

NCAA

Date: 17 February 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Kansas State Wildcats		Baylor Bears

	1	2
	2.5	1.5
	2.4	1.52
	2.49	1.57
	2.27	1.58	Watch
	2.55	1.5
	2.5	1.51
	2.55	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.29)	1.53 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kansas State Wildcats
38.3%

Baylor Bears
61.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.9%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kansas State Wildcats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Baylor Bears has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kansas State Wildcats than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kansas State Wildcats, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baylor Bears than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Baylor Bears, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Kansas State Wildcats - Baylor Bears Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Kansas State will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Baylor will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kansas State (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:82

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kansas State won 3.

Kansas State is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Baylor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Baylor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Baylor is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kansas State won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 1293:1420. (average 64.7:71).

Including home matches between the teams, Kansas State won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 550:581. (average 68.8:72.6).

Outrights of NCAA College Basketball for now

Kansas State: 0.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kansas State Wildcats basketball
NCAA College Basketball
14.02.26	Houston Cougars - Kansas State Wildcats	78:64 ✺
11.02.26	Kansas State Wildcats - Cincinnati Bearcats	62:91 ✺
07.02.26	TCU Horned Frogs - Kansas State Wildcats	84:82 ✺
01.02.26	Kansas State Wildcats - Iowa State Cyclones	61:95 ✺
27.01.26	West Virginia Mountaineers - Kansas State Wildcats	59:54 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Baylor Bears basketball
NCAA College Basketball
14.02.26	Baylor Bears - Louisville Cardinals	71:82 ✺
10.02.26	Baylor Bears - Brigham Young Cougars	94:99 ✺
07.02.26	Iowa State Cyclones - Baylor Bears	72:69 ✺
04.02.26	Baylor Bears - Colorado Buffaloes	86:67 ✺
31.01.26	West Virginia Mountaineers - Baylor Bears	53:63 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
12.03.25	Baylor Bears - Kansas State Wildcats	70:56
22.01.25	Baylor Bears - Kansas State Wildcats	70:62
16.01.24	Kansas State Wildcats - Baylor Bears	68:64 OT
21.02.23	Kansas State Wildcats - Baylor Bears	75:65
07.01.23	Baylor Bears - Kansas State Wildcats	95:97 OT (86:86)
09.02.22	Kansas State Wildcats - Baylor Bears	60:75
25.01.22	Baylor Bears - Kansas State Wildcats	74:49

Kansas State Wildcats - Baylor Bears