Match Info

TPBL

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Kaohsiung Arena (Kaohsiung)


	Kaohsiung Aquas		New Taipei Kings

	1	2
	3.15	1.26
	3.51	1.29
	3.17	1.3	Watch
	3.4	1.3
	3.21	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (2.83)	1.29 ↓ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 196.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaohsiung Aquas
28.2%

New Taipei Kings
71.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

68%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaohsiung Aquas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

New Taipei Kings has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaohsiung Aquas than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kaohsiung Aquas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Taipei Kings than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for New Taipei Kings, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kaohsiung Aquas - New Taipei Kings Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 95:102

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. Hu Long-Mao	9. Lee Kai-Yan
5. Krajina K.	19. Lin Chin-Pang
12. Maldonado H.	1. Lin Shu-Wei
24. Su Wen-Ju	15. Olujobi O.
28. Yu Chun-An	42. Washburn J.
Substitutes
30. Liao Wei-Hao	10. Chien You-Che
21. Lu Wei-Ting	0. Harris J.
11. Shih Chin-Yao	20. Hsiung Shiarng-Tai
23. Wu Yen-Lun	12. Lin Yan-Ting
1. Zelionis E.	13. Lu Cheng-Ju
	26. Smith J.
	2. Su Pei-Kai
	17. Su Shih-Hsuan
	11. Wang Po-Chih

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kaohsiung Aquas won 1.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

New Taipei Kings may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

In this match, New Taipei Kings is seen as the favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Kaohsiung Aquas won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1693:1809. (average 94.1:100.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Kaohsiung Aquas won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 766:780. (average 95.8:97.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kaohsiung Aquas
Taiwan TPBL
04.04.26	Taiwan Beer Leopards - Kaohsiung Aquas	105:74 ✺
28.03.26	Taipei Taishin Mars - Kaohsiung Aquas	104:112 ✺
25.03.26	Formosa Dreamers - Kaohsiung Aquas	96:90 ✺
21.03.26	New Taipei CTBC DEA - Kaohsiung Aquas	118:91 ✺
14.03.26	Hsinchu JKO Lioneers - Kaohsiung Aquas	113:97 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLLL
- New Taipei Kings
Taiwan TPBL
05.04.26	New Taipei CTBC DEA - New Taipei Kings	98:78 ✺
27.03.26	Formosa Dreamers - New Taipei Kings	107:90 ✺
EASL Basketball
18.03.26	Utsunomiya Brex - New Taipei Kings	85:64 ✺
Taiwan TPBL
15.03.26	Hsinchu JKO Lioneers - New Taipei Kings	113:90 ✺
08.03.26	Taiwan Beer Leopards - New Taipei Kings	101:114 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Taiwan TPBL
04.01.26	Kaohsiung Aquas - New Taipei Kings	94:111
28.12.25	New Taipei Kings - Kaohsiung Aquas	86:82
09.11.25	New Taipei Kings - Kaohsiung Aquas	111:94
25.10.25	Kaohsiung Aquas - New Taipei Kings	91:79
11.10.25	New Taipei Kings - Kaohsiung Aquas	110:100
29.06.25	New Taipei Kings - Kaohsiung Aquas	108:89
27.06.25	Kaohsiung Aquas - New Taipei Kings	112:109 OT

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