Match Info

I Divisioona A - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Karkkila sports hall (Karkkila)


	Karkkila		Kipinä

	1	2
	1.84	1.8
	1.88	1.85
	1.87	1.81	Watch
	1.9	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.86)	1.81 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 181.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karkkila
49.2%

Kipinä
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karkkila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Kipinä has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karkkila than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kipinä than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Karkkila - Kipinä Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:92

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Bandoumel E.	5. Cookson J.
6. Bani W.	55. Hilmer J.
21. Hyytiainen M.	24. Hinkkanen P.
7. Jones-McCrary C.	12. McCoy J.
23. Kivimaki N. (C)	7. Salmenkivi S.
Substitutes
5. Groffier M.	26. Hinkkanen R.
19. Kurki J.	44. Karkkainen N.
12. Nappinen S.	11. Laaksonen E.
10. Nyman M.	45. Mantymaa S. (C)
97. Poutiainen P.	8. Siekkinen A.
18. Salmisto I.	13. Varis E.
14. Van Der Starre B.	4. Ylipeltola E.
Coaches
. Tolvanen K.	. Hautsalo J.

Preview

Kipina leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

Karkkila has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kipinä is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Kipinä may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karkkila won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 432:464. (average 86.4:92.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Karkkila won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 180:185. (average 90:92.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
3	Karkkila	1	1	0	81:71	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karkkila Basketball
Finnish I Divisioona A Basketball
09.04.26	Kipinä - Karkkila	101:86 ✺
06.04.26	Karkkila - Kipinä	96:90 ✺
03.04.26	Kipinä - Karkkila	92:83 ✺
27.03.26	Karkkila - Helsingin NMKY	90:83 ✺
25.03.26	Helsingin NMKY - Karkkila	62:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLWW
- Kipinä Basket
Finnish I Divisioona A Basketball
09.04.26	Kipinä - Karkkila	101:86 ✺
06.04.26	Karkkila - Kipinä	96:90 ✺
03.04.26	Kipinä - Karkkila	92:83 ✺
29.03.26	Torpan Pojat - Kipinä	72:94 ✺
25.03.26	Kipinä - Torpan Pojat	105:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish I Divisioona A Basketball
09.04.26	Kipinä - Karkkila	101:86
06.04.26	Karkkila - Kipinä	96:90
03.04.26	Kipinä - Karkkila	92:83
25.01.26	Karkkila - Kipinä	84:95
12.10.25	Kipinä - Karkkila	86:83

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