Match Info

LITHUANIA: NKL - LOSERS STAGE

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Kauno r. Garliavos sporto centras (Garliava)


	Kauno Atletas		Šilutė

	1	2
	1.36	2.9
	1.35	2.81
	1.32	3.32
	1.36	3
	1.33	3.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.53)	3.03 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 157.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kauno Atletas
69.3%

Šilutė
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kauno Atletas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kauno Atletas's performance.

Šilutė has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Šilutė might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kauno Atletas than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kauno Atletas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Šilutė than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Šilutė could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kauno Atletas - Šilutė Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:76

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kauno Atletas won 3.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Šilutė could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kauno Atletas will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Kauno Atletas won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 1218-1189.

Including matches at home between the teams Kauno Atletas won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 584-536.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kauno Atletas
Lietuvos NKL
22.02.24	Delikatesas Joniškis - Kauno Atletas	81:75 ✺
17.02.24	Kauno Atletas - Kretinga	87:84 ✺
15.02.24	Neptūnas - Kauno Atletas	89:76 ✺
10.02.24	Vilniaus Stekas - Kauno Atletas	73:61 ✺
08.02.24	Kauno Atletas - Vilniaus Stekas	56:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL
- KK Šilutė
Lietuvos NKL
22.02.24	Šilutė - Rytas 2	87:90 ✺
17.02.24	Vilniaus Stekas - Šilutė	86:75 ✺
15.02.24	Delikatesas Joniškis - Šilutė	98:99 ✺
03.02.24	Rytas 2 - Šilutė	93:81 ✺
01.02.24	Šilutė - Kauno Atletas	84:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
01.02.24	Šilutė - Kauno Atletas	84:91
09.12.23	Šilutė - Kauno Atletas	66:70
19.10.23	Kauno Atletas - Šilutė	84:90
25.02.23	Šilutė - Kauno Atletas	69:63 OT
28.01.23	Kauno Atletas - Šilutė	82:73
14.01.23	Kauno Atletas - Šilutė	54:59
12.11.22	Šilutė - Kauno Atletas	78:76

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