Match Info

LITHUANIA: NKL - LOSERS STAGE

Date: 15 February 2024, Thursday

Location: Klaipėdos KKRC (Klaipeda)


	Neptūnas		Kauno Atletas

	1	2
	1.4	2.7
	1.3	3
	1.32	3.33
	1.41	2.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.8)	2.95 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neptūnas
68.5%

Kauno Atletas
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neptūnas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Neptūnas's performance.

Kauno Atletas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kauno Atletas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neptūnas than the current prediction. (-16.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Neptūnas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kauno Atletas than the current prediction. (+16.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kauno Atletas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Neptūnas - Kauno Atletas Predictions

Users Predictions: Kauno Atletas will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:75

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Neptūnas won 3.

Neptūnas is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Kauno Atletas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kauno Atletas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Neptūnas is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Neptūnas won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 749-818.

Including matches at home between the teams Neptūnas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 307-331.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Neptūnas Klaipeda
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
12.02.24	Neptūnas - Žalgiris Kaunas	75:95 ✺
Lietuvos NKL
10.02.24	Neptūnas - Kretinga	96:84 ✺
08.02.24	Kretinga - Neptūnas	84:79 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
04.02.24	Nevėžis Kedainiai - Neptūnas	96:92 OT ✺
Lietuvos NKL
01.02.24	Vilniaus Stekas - Neptūnas	79:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLLL
- Kauno Atletas
Lietuvos NKL
10.02.24	Vilniaus Stekas - Kauno Atletas	73:61 ✺
08.02.24	Kauno Atletas - Vilniaus Stekas	56:65 ✺
03.02.24	Kauno Atletas - Delikatesas Joniškis	84:97 ✺
01.02.24	Šilutė - Kauno Atletas	84:91 ✺
25.01.24	Kauno Atletas - Rytas 2	89:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
18.01.24	Kauno Atletas - Neptūnas	77:82
06.01.24	Neptūnas - Kauno Atletas	69:68
11.11.23	Kauno Atletas - Neptūnas	77:83
24.11.22	Kauno Atletas - Neptūnas	88:54
08.10.22	Neptūnas - Kauno Atletas	81:86 OT (73:73)
22.03.22	Kauno Atletas - Neptūnas	78:70
19.03.22	Neptūnas - Kauno Atletas	75:89

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