Match Info

NKL

Date: 29 January 2026, Thursday

Location: „Žalgirio“ treniruočių centras (Kaunas)


	Kauno Žalgiris-2		Telšiai

	1	2
			Watch
	1.44	2.48	Watch
	1.47	2.52
	1.38	2.78	Watch
	1.44	2.5
	1.51	2.39
	1.55	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.64)	2.5 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kauno Žalgiris-2
63%

Telšiai
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kauno Žalgiris-2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kauno Žalgiris-2's performance.

Telšiai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Telšiai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kauno Žalgiris-2 than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kauno Žalgiris-2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Telšiai than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Telšiai could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Telšiai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Brnovic M.	13. Gecevicius M.
12. Bulanovas M. (C)	1. Kaminskis O. (C)
55. Grunkis D.	6. Pocius V.
7. Rudaitis J.	22. Rasys D.
16. Stombergas I.	4. Rimkus A.
Substitutes
2. Adamson S.	10. Kuzmanovic P.
15. Cerneckis G.	11. Meistas V.
17. Lavrinovic T.	3. Razutis I.
4. Mikalauskas K.	31. Small J.
66. Mistautas N.
10. Raupelis N.
3. Urbonavicius D.
Coaches
. Kondratavicius R.	. Buskevics S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris-2 won 2.

Recent performances by Žalgiris-2 have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Telšiai is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Žalgiris-2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Žalgiris-2 could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris-2 won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1467:1493. (average 73.4:74.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Žalgiris-2 won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 677:694. (average 75.2:77.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
5	Telsiai	3	3	0	264:219	3
8	Zalgiris Kaunas 2	3	2	1	302:295	2

Last Results with these Odds

Kauno Žalgiris-2 - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 55.89%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kauno Žalgiris-2 Basketball
Lietuvos NKL
27.01.26	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Vytis Šakiai	77:87 ✺
24.01.26	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Olimpas Palanga	96:87 ✺
20.01.26	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Kauno Žalgiris-2	80:79 ✺
17.01.26	Šilutė - Kauno Žalgiris-2	111:80 ✺
15.01.26	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Jurbarkas-Karys	83:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLW
- KK Telšiai
Lietuvos NKL
24.01.26	Telšiai - Rytas 2	75:76 ✺
22.01.26	Vilniaus Stekas - Telšiai	94:91 OT ✺
17.01.26	Kėdainiai - Telšiai	91:82 ✺
15.01.26	Telšiai - Alytaus Alytus	81:83 ✺
13.01.26	Kretinga - Telšiai	75:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
02.10.25	Telšiai - Kauno Žalgiris-2	88:90
22.02.25	Telšiai - Kauno Žalgiris-2	74:66
04.01.25	Telšiai - Kauno Žalgiris-2	69:76
05.10.24	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Telšiai	63:76
29.02.24	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Telšiai	65:79
25.01.24	Telšiai - Kauno Žalgiris-2	65:67
23.12.23	Telšiai - Kauno Žalgiris-2	73:66

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