Match Info

NKL - Winners stage

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Sakiu sporto centras (Sakiai)


	Vytis Šakiai		Telšiai

	1	2
			Watch
	1.5	2.3	Watch
	1.48	2.48
	1.49	2.4	Watch
	1.5	2.4
	1.48	2.47
	1.47	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.41)	2.43 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 176.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vytis Šakiai
62.1%

Telšiai
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vytis Šakiai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Telšiai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vytis Šakiai than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Telšiai than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Vytis Šakiai - Telšiai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Celka G. (C)	13. Gecevicius M.
22. Janusevicius T.	1. Kaminskis O. (C)
13. Leliukas K.	6. Pocius V.
12. Mikstas A.	22. Rasys D.
2. Vaivada N.	3. Razutis I.
Substitutes
6. Mazeika G.	44. Balciunas T.
1. Norutis R.	11. Meistas V.
23. Rubinas J.	4. Rimkus A.
3. Velutis P.	31. Small J.
Coaches
. Kuciauskas E.	. Buskevics S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vytis Šakiai won 4.

Vytis Šakiai is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Telšiai has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Vytis Šakiai may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Vytis Šakiai is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Vytis Šakiai will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vytis Šakiai won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1643:1643. (average 82.2:82.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Vytis Šakiai won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 858:819. (average 85.8:81.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
2	Vytis VDU	2	2	0	178:173	2
5	Telsiai	3	3	0	264:219	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Vytis Šakiai
Lietuvos NKL
05.02.26	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Vytis Šakiai	88:89 ✺
31.01.26	Sūduva - Vytis Šakiai	107:99 ✺
29.01.26	Vytis Šakiai - Kretinga	84:79 ✺
27.01.26	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Vytis Šakiai	77:87 ✺
24.01.26	Vytis Šakiai - Šilutė	99:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWW
- KK Telšiai
Lietuvos NKL
07.02.26	Telšiai - Jurbarkas-Karys	74:71 ✺
05.02.26	Šilutė - Telšiai	98:92 ✺
31.01.26	Telšiai - Olimpas Palanga	97:90 ✺
29.01.26	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Telšiai	105:91 ✺
24.01.26	Telšiai - Rytas 2	75:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
08.01.26	Vytis Šakiai - Telšiai	107:89
23.10.25	Telšiai - Vytis Šakiai	79:93
13.02.25	Telšiai - Vytis Šakiai	86:89
11.01.25	Telšiai - Vytis Šakiai	101:94 OT
12.10.24	Vytis Šakiai - Telšiai	108:100 OT
22.02.24	Vytis Šakiai - Telšiai	76:104
03.02.24	Telšiai - Vytis Šakiai	96:69

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