Match Info

ASIA: ASIAN GAMES

Date: 25 September 2023, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Kazakhstan		Saudi Arabia

	1	2
	2.2	1.63
	2.14	1.6
	2.45	1.59
	2.32	1.54
	2.14	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (3.25)	1.59 ↑ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 145.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kazakhstan
41.4%

Saudi Arabia
58.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.8%

71.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

69.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kazakhstan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kazakhstan's performance.

Saudi Arabia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Saudi Arabia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kazakhstan than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kazakhstan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saudi Arabia than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Saudi Arabia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
96%	0%	4%

Kazakhstan - Saudi Arabia Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Kazakhstan will win (votes: 24 - 96%). Saudi Arabia will win (votes: 1 - 4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kazakhstan: 88.3% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 71:75

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Saudi Arabia will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kazakhstan won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 155-138.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kazakhstan basketball
Olympic Games - Basketball
17.08.23	Saudi Arabia - Kazakhstan	79:66 ✺
16.08.23	Kazakhstan - Syria	85:70 ✺
14.08.23	India - Kazakhstan	70:73 ✺
13.08.23	Kazakhstan - Bahrain	67:104 ✺
12.08.23	Indonesia - Kazakhstan	91:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LWWLL
- Saudi Arabia basketball
Olympic Games - Basketball
17.08.23	Saudi Arabia - Kazakhstan	79:66 ✺
16.08.23	Saudi Arabia - India	92:75 ✺
14.08.23	Indonesia - Saudi Arabia	72:86 ✺
13.08.23	Saudi Arabia - Syria	71:73 ✺
12.08.23	Bahrain - Saudi Arabia	89:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Olympic Games - Basketball
17.08.23	Saudi Arabia - Kazakhstan	79:66
Asian Games Basketball
20.09.14	Saudi Arabia - Kazakhstan	59:89

Kazakhstan - Saudi Arabia