Match Info

Latvian-Estonian League

Date: 4 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: Keila Tervisekeskus (Keila)


	Keila		Keila Basket

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.42	1.5
	2.59	1.44
	2.85	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (3)	1.44 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keila
35.5%

Keila Basket
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

69.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

72.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Keila Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keila than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Keila that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keila Basket than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Keila Basket could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Keila - Keila Basket Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Keila will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Keila Basket will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Keila: 68.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Keila will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:90

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Burns Q.	32. Kulishenko N.
11. Fox B.	13. Kuttis R.
19. Niits T. (C)	8. Pahv M. (C)
40. Peemot P.	33. Saal P.
2. Sats R.	23. Thompson I.
Substitutes
3. Ermakov K.	25. Avarsalu M.
25. Kago R.	0. Johnson K.
18. Laanemaa R.	21. Lenk C.
0. Miller J. I.	9. Midri M.
1. Ruutel E.	15. Spaleta M.
15. Stredic A. D.	16. Tamkivi R.
55. Valge M.
Coaches
. Sober A.	. Pahv P.

Preview

Keila is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Keila Basket has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Keila Basket may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Keila Basket is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Keila won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 156:162. (average 78:81).

Including home match between the teams, Keila won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 84:79.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keila KK
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
01.11.25	Tallinna Kalev - Keila	117:70 ✺
25.10.25	Keila - Ogre	74:90 ✺
18.10.25	Rīgas Zeļļi - Keila	108:73 ✺
11.10.25	Keila - Liepāja	79:89 ✺
05.10.25	Tartu Rock - Keila	89:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Keila Basket
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
31.10.25	Keila Basket - Latvijas Universitāte	91:81 ✺
ENBL
29.10.25	Gimle - Keila Basket	76:75 ✺
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
24.10.25	Valmiera Glass Via - Keila Basket	97:80 ✺
19.10.25	Viimsi - Keila Basket	92:98 ✺
10.10.25	Keila Basket - Ogre	71:97 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
18.01.25	Keila - Keila Basket	84:79
23.10.24	Keila Basket - Keila	83:72

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