Match Info

Latvian-Estonian League

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Xiaomi Arena (Riga)


	VEF Riga		Keila

	1	2
	1.01	17.00
	1.00	18.00
	1.01	11.87
	1	12.5	Watch
	1.02	10.59
	1.00	21.00
	1.01	16.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.01 (1.01)	15.28 ↓ (17)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-27)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VEF Riga
93.8%

Keila
6.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

94.4%

5.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VEF Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Keila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

VEF Riga - Keila Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 100:73

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Aleksandrovs R.	2. Aav S.
5. Mejeris M.	10. Carter P.
15. Rodriguez Jr L. C.	4. Golson Jr C.
3. Sears J.	21. Kirsipuu J.
21. Skele A.	11. Shymanskyi V.
Substitutes
55. Asberry C.	12. Aimre H.
33. Berkolds R.	3. Ermakov K.
1. Bumeisters R. (C)	7. Mark T.
32. Niedra J.	13. Matute K.
20. Ozols A.	40. Peemot P. (C)
4. Silins O.	5. Rumm R.
	9. Ruutel E.
Coaches
. Kosuskins J.	. Landra A.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, VEF won 5.

VEF has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Keila could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The betting markets point to VEF as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, VEF has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 752:559 (averaging 94:69.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for VEF against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 392:253 goals (averaging 98:63.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
1	VEF Riga	4	4	0	368:254	1.000
14	Keila KK	2	0	2	142:196	0.000

Last Results with these Odds

VEF Riga - the odds 1.01 are the expected chance of winning is 94.39%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VEF Riga
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
26.09.26	Ogre - VEF Riga	73:92 ✺
23.09.26	VEF Riga - Latvijas Universitāte	104:66 ✺
Champions League Basketball
17.09.26	VEF Riga - Dziki Warszawa	95:102 ✺
14.09.26	VEF Riga - Absheron Lions	105:88 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
04.09.26	Nevėžis Kedainiai - VEF Riga	76:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLWW
- Keila KK
Club Friendly Basketball
09.09.26	Keila - Tallinna Kalev	74:101 ✺
Estonian Korvpalli Meistriliiga
17.04.26	TalTech - Keila	110:81 ✺
14.04.26	Keila - TalTech	65:73 ✺
11.04.26	TalTech - Keila	83:58 ✺
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
14.03.26	Keila - Valmiera Glass Via	74:96 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
15.11.25	Keila - VEF Riga	80:105
30.09.25	VEF Riga - Keila	122:74
11.03.25	VEF Riga - Keila	94:71
09.11.24	Keila - VEF Riga	78:90
06.03.24	Keila - VEF Riga	72:77
25.11.23	VEF Riga - Keila	81:60
09.01.23	VEF Riga - Keila	95:48

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