Match Info
NBL1 SouthDate: 5 July 2026, Sunday ๐ Finished Where to Watch on TV: | Country | Kick-Off | TV Channels |
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 Australia | 14:00 | Nbl+ |
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Keilor Thunder |
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Casey Cavaliers |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
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 Watch |
 |
1.60 |
|
2.20 |
|
 |
1.46 |
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2.35 |
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 |
1.43 |
|
2.65 |
|
 |
1.56 |
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2.24 |
Watch |
 |
1.41 |
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2.6 |
|
 |
1.46 |
|
2.53 |
Watch |
 |
1.46 |
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2.41 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48
(1.48) |
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2.43 ↑
(2.37) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 181.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
- The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Keilor Thunder
62.1% | Casey Cavaliers
37.9% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Keilor Thunder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Casey Cavaliers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keilor Thunder than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Keilor Thunder that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casey Cavaliers than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Casey Cavaliers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Keilor Thunder - Casey Cavaliers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 93:89 
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Preview
Keilor is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).Casey has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).Casey may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Keilor will hold a modest advantage in this match.We predict that Keilor will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Keilor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 365:409. (average 73:81.8).Including home matches between the teams, Keilor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 224:244. (average 74.7:81.3).
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NBL1 South | | | 14.06.26 | Casey Cavaliers - Keilor Thunder | 67:78 | | 31.05.25 | Keilor Thunder - Casey Cavaliers | 80:90 | | 20.04.24 | Keilor Thunder - Casey Cavaliers | 69:87 | | 16.07.23 | Casey Cavaliers - Keilor Thunder | 98:63 | | 13.08.22 | Keilor Thunder - Casey Cavaliers | 75:67 |
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