Match Info

Libobasquet - First stage - Round 11

Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday


	Kinwa		Leones de Potosi

	1	2
	1.35	2.8
	1.34	2.98
			Watch
	1.37	2.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.55)	2.9 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 153.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kinwa
68.2%

Leones de Potosi
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kinwa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kinwa's performance.

Leones de Potosi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leones de Potosi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kinwa than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kinwa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones de Potosi than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leones de Potosi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kinwa - Leones de Potosi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:74

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Preview

Recent performances by Kinwa have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Leones de Potosi is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Leones de Potosi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kinwa will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kinwa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 234:253. (average 78:84.3).

Including home match between the teams, Kinwa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 83:86.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kinwa Club
Bolivian Libobasquet
01.07.25	Calero Potosi - Kinwa	66:79 ✺
28.06.25	Kinwa - Universitario de Sucre	58:65 ✺
25.06.25	CAN Oruro - Kinwa	83:88 ✺
21.06.25	Kinwa - Nacional Potosí	67:90 ✺
04.06.25	Carl A-Z - Kinwa	94:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWLL
- Leones de Potosi
Bolivian Libobasquet
02.07.25	Leones de Potosi - Nacional Potosí	66:71 ✺
29.06.25	Carl A-Z - Leones de Potosi	83:90 ✺
27.06.25	Leones de Potosi - Pichincha Potosi	70:62 ✺
23.06.25	CAN Oruro - Leones de Potosi	91:95 OT ✺
05.06.25	Calero Potosi - Leones de Potosi	54:60 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Libobasquet
27.05.25	Leones de Potosi - Kinwa	73:76
14.06.24	Leones de Potosi - Kinwa	94:75
24.04.24	Kinwa - Leones de Potosi	83:86

Kinwa - Leones de Potosi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide