Match Info

TBL - Round 28

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Kahramanmaraş Merkez Spor Salonu (Kahramanmaraş)


	Kipaş İstiklal		Ankaragücü

	1	2
	1.48	2.35
	1.64	2.07
	1.93	1.76
	1.73	2
	1.67	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.44)	2.05 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Kipaş İstiklal
54.8%

Ankaragücü
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kipaş İstiklal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kipaş İstiklal's form might have worsened.

Ankaragücü has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ankaragücü's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kipaş İstiklal than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kipaş İstiklal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ankaragücü than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ankaragücü, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kipaş İstiklal - Ankaragücü Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:78

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Abu A.	2. Cameron B.
10. Gunes O.	33. Celen D.
13. Selen B. (C)	10. Pinarer I. (C)
6. Watkins D.	0. Pullen J.
16. Yeniay B.	14. Tekin R.
Substitutes
11. Akkoyun G.	22. Ayyildiz T.
53. Demirli G.	99. Gokturk E.
4. Gozeneli B.	5. Has E.
33. Hotamis I.	12. Karalar Y.
25. Isik B.	1. Kay T.
44. Tunc B.	15. Mazmanoglu H.
15. Yilmaz A.	55. Yosmaoglu S.
Coaches
. Erdogan S.	. Aydanarig K.

Preview

Kipaş İstiklal has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ankaragücü is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kipaş İstiklal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kipaş İstiklal is the team to beat.

We predict that Kipaş İstiklal will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kipaş İstiklal won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 85:68.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
2	Kipas Istiklal	5	4	1	410:364	9
16	MKE Ankaragucu	4	1	3	300:386	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kipaş İstiklal
Turkish TBL
06.03.26	Final Gençlik - Kipaş İstiklal	79:77 ✺
01.03.26	Kipaş İstiklal - Göztepe	91:87 ✺
22.02.26	Konya BBSK - Kipaş İstiklal	94:68 ✺
15.02.26	Kipaş İstiklal - Harem Spor	84:83 ✺
08.02.26	Balıkesir - Kipaş İstiklal	77:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLWW
- MKE Ankaragücü Basketball
Turkish TBL
08.03.26	Ankaragücü - İTÜ	81:74 ✺
28.02.26	Darüşşafaka - Ankaragücü	102:92 ✺
20.02.26	Ankaragücü - TED Ankara Kolejliler	85:98 ✺
15.02.26	Kocaeli Kağıtspor - Ankaragücü	82:69 ✺
09.02.26	Ankaragücü - Gaziantep BB BT	72:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish TBL
21.11.25	Ankaragücü - Kipaş İstiklal	68:85

Upcoming Matches