Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NBL1 - Play Offs - Final

Date: 17 August 2024, Saturday


	Knox Raiders		Mackay Meteors

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.34	1.6
	2.11	1.69	Watch
	2.15	1.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.79)	1.65 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 179.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Knox Raiders
43.1%

Mackay Meteors
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

66.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Knox Raiders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Knox Raiders's performance.

Mackay Meteors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mackay Meteors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Knox Raiders than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Knox Raiders that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mackay Meteors than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mackay Meteors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Knox Raiders - Mackay Meteors Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Knox will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Mackay will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:92

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Bowen K.	32. Doyle A.
10. Feagin K. (C)	4. Krause A.
9. Machar M.	33. Maran C.
5. Nunn B.	3. Naar E. (C)
22. Rapp A.	19. Yates L.
Substitutes
8. Foy J.	0. Jamerson J.
21. Hare D.	5. Khalu M.
15. Madut A.	2. Medhurst K.
1. Rissetto A.	15. Rasmussen B.
43. Simos Primerano T.	13. Sager K.

Preview

Recent matches Knox is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mackay in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Mackay could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Mackay have a series of home games.

Mackay will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Mackay to win the game is with odds 1.48.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Knox Raiders
Australian NBL1
17.08.24	Knox Raiders - Eltham Wildcats	90:66 ✺
Australian NBL1 South
20.07.24	Dandenong Rangers - Knox Raiders	98:91 ✺
13.07.24	Knox Raiders - Keilor Thunder	104:68 ✺
07.07.24	Knox Raiders - Geelong United	89:75 ✺
05.07.24	Mount Gambier Pioneers - Knox Raiders	93:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWWL
- Mackay Meteors
Australian NBL1
17.08.24	Mackay Meteors - Forestville Eagles	95:80 ✺
16.08.24	Mackay Meteors - Mandurah Magic	93:82 ✺
Australian NBL1 North
03.08.24	Mackay Meteors - Brisbane Capitals	102:80 ✺
02.08.24	Mackay Meteors - Brisbane Capitals	91:79 ✺
27.07.24	Mackay Meteors - Southern Districts Spartans	100:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWW

Knox Raiders - Mackay Meteors: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide