Match Info

Korisliiga

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Uusikaupunki Areena (Uusikaupunki) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	17:00	Ruutu+


	Korihait		KTP Kotka Basket

	1	2
	2.65	1.40
	3.30	1.30
	3.36	1.32
	2.64	1.41	Watch
	3.30	1.30
	3.03	1.36
	3.30	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.04)	1.34 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Korihait
30.4%

KTP Kotka Basket
69.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Korihait has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Korihait's form might have worsened.

KTP Kotka Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting KTP Kotka Basket's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korihait than the current prediction. (+20%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Korihait, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KTP Kotka Basket than the current prediction. (-20%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for KTP Kotka Basket, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Korihait - KTP Kotka Basket Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Korihait will win (votes: 3 - 75%). KTP Basket will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Korihait (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:91

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Jackson J.	21. Dolenc D. (C)
22. Lindberg R.	35. Granlund J.
14. Murr T.	1. Mantynen J.
2. Niemi T.	10. Styles Z.
3. Tillis D.	31. Tuomala J.
Substitutes
6. Ahvenjarvi R.	0. Gillis M.
8. Herrala J.	23. Uwamungu I.
9. Lahdetniemi E.	3. White A.
7. Sarcevic B. (C)
51. Williams K.
Coaches
. Poikola P.	. Gibson G.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Korihait won 3.

Korihait is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

KTP Basket is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

KTP Basket may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

KTP Basket is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Our forecast points to a victory for KTP Basket in today's match, at odds of 1.39.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Korihait has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1717:1876 (averaging 85.9:93.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Korihait against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 868:894 goals (averaging 86.8:89.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
1	KTP Kotka Basket	7	7	0	655:548	14
10	UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki	7	2	5	602:644	4

Last Results with these Odds

KTP Kotka Basket - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 55.28%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Korihait
Finnish Korisliiga
10.10.26	Salon Vilpas - Korihait	95:73 ✺
06.10.26	Korihait - Helsinki Seagulls	88:67 ✺
03.10.26	Kipinä - Korihait	109:85 ✺
30.09.26	Korihait - Pyrinto Tampere	89:96 ✺
Finnish Cup Basketball
22.09.26	Kouvot Kouvola - Korihait	85:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLLL
- KTP Kotka Basket
Finnish Korisliiga
14.10.26	Salon Vilpas - KTP Kotka Basket	81:102 ✺
09.10.26	KTP Kotka Basket - Pyrinto Tampere	88:72 ✺
03.10.26	Kauhajoen Karhu - KTP Kotka Basket	78:84 ✺
29.09.26	KTP Kotka Basket - Bisons Loimaa	87:64 ✺
Finnish Cup Basketball
16.09.26	KTP Kotka Basket - Kipinä	86:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Korisliiga
18.03.26	Korihait - KTP Kotka Basket	81:77
17.02.26	KTP Kotka Basket - Korihait	95:86
25.01.26	KTP Kotka Basket - Korihait	108:107 OT
22.11.25	Korihait - KTP Kotka Basket	81:71
21.12.24	Korihait - KTP Kotka Basket	106:88
01.11.24	KTP Kotka Basket - Korihait	79:61
13.01.24	Korihait - KTP Kotka Basket	101:89

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