Match Info

Korisliiga - Winners stage - Round 32

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Uusikaupunki Areena (Uusikaupunki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Korihait		KTP Kotka Basket

	1	2
	1.75	1.98
	1.83	1.99
	1.78	1.95	Watch
	1.73	1.95
	1.79	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.89)	1.96 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Korihait
52.5%

KTP Kotka Basket
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Korihait has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

KTP Kotka Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korihait than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KTP Kotka Basket than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Korihait - KTP Kotka Basket Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Aalto M.	35. Granlund J.
20. Champion F.	44. Polla H.
40. Jackson J.	7. Raitanen R.
7. Sarcevic B. (C)	2. Sapwell K.
10. Tahvanainen V.	8. Taylor J.
Substitutes
6. Ahvenjarvi R.	24. Carver A.
11. Eklund L.	5. Richardson T.
21. Goracke B.	11. Stepanoff H.
13. Harris J.	31. Tuomala J. (C)
8. Herrala J.
Coaches
. Ivanovic I.	. Mihajlovic D.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Korihait won 2.

Recent performances by Korihait have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

KTP Basket is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, Korihait has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

We predict that KTP Basket will win today's game, with odds of 1.91.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Korihait won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1725:1898. (average 86.3:94.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Korihait won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 876:916. (average 87.6:91.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
1	KTP Kotka Basket	3	3	0	259:214	6
11	UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki	3	1	2	262:271	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Korihait
Finnish Korisliiga
14.03.26	Espoon Honka - Korihait	105:87 ✺
10.03.26	Kauhajoen Karhu - Korihait	79:89 ✺
07.03.26	Korihait - Helsinki Seagulls	86:73 ✺
20.02.26	Salon Vilpas - Korihait	75:90 ✺
17.02.26	KTP Kotka Basket - Korihait	95:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWWWL
- KTP Kotka Basket
Finnish Korisliiga
13.03.26	KTP Kotka Basket - Salon Vilpas	83:77 ✺
10.03.26	Helsinki Seagulls - KTP Kotka Basket	84:92 ✺
06.03.26	KTP Kotka Basket - Espoon Honka	89:68 ✺
21.02.26	Kauhajoen Karhu - KTP Kotka Basket	61:86 ✺
17.02.26	KTP Kotka Basket - Korihait	95:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Korisliiga
17.02.26	KTP Kotka Basket - Korihait	95:86
25.01.26	KTP Kotka Basket - Korihait	108:107 OT
22.11.25	Korihait - KTP Kotka Basket	81:71
21.12.24	Korihait - KTP Kotka Basket	106:88
01.11.24	KTP Kotka Basket - Korihait	79:61
13.01.24	Korihait - KTP Kotka Basket	101:89
10.11.23	KTP Kotka Basket - Korihait	90:96

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