Match Info

GREECE: ELITE LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 14 May 2023, Sunday


	Koroivos		Maroussi Athens

	1	2
	1.34	2.9
	1.4	2.81
	1.3	3.4
	1.39	2.76
	1.24	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.85)	3.06 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 148.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Koroivos
69.7%

Maroussi Athens
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Koroivos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Koroivos's performance.

Maroussi Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maroussi Athens might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Koroivos than the current prediction. (-20.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Koroivos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maroussi Athens than the current prediction. (+20.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maroussi Athens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Koroivos - Maroussi Athens Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:75

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Preview

2nd leg. Maroussi leads series 2-1.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Koroivos won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Koroivos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Koroivos is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Koroivos won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 753-736.

Including matches at home between the teams Koroivos won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 408-363.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Koroivos BC
Greek Elite League Basketball
10.05.23	Maroussi Athens - Koroivos	85:79 ✺
29.04.23	Koroivos - Kavala	69:45 ✺
22.04.23	Koroivos - Charilaos Trikoupis	83:77 ✺
12.04.23	Amyntas - Koroivos	78:76 ✺
08.04.23	Koroivos - Iraklis	62:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWWLL
- Maroussi Athens BC
Greek Elite League Basketball
10.05.23	Maroussi Athens - Koroivos	85:79 ✺
03.05.23	Panerythraikos - Maroussi Athens	67:64 ✺
29.04.23	Maroussi Athens - Triton	73:65 ✺
22.04.23	Psychiko - Maroussi Athens	83:74 ✺
12.04.23	Maroussi Athens - Agriniou	93:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Elite League Basketball
10.05.23	Maroussi Athens - Koroivos	85:79
02.04.23	Maroussi Athens - Koroivos	75:59
10.12.22	Koroivos - Maroussi Athens	77:75
12.03.22	Koroivos - Maroussi Athens	93:82 OT (79:79)
13.11.21	Maroussi Athens - Koroivos	72:76
22.05.19	Koroivos - Maroussi Athens	76:70
18.05.19	Maroussi Athens - Koroivos	66:61

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