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Current Win Probability
Maroussi Athens 70.3%
Promitheas Patras 29.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
55.9%
44.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.1%
39.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maroussi Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maroussi Athens's performance.
Promitheas Patras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Promitheas Patras might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maroussi Athens than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maroussi Athens that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Promitheas Patras than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Promitheas Patras could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
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Maroussi Athens - Promitheas Patras Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:79
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Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 13th in the Relegation - Elite League and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maroussi won 3.
Maroussi is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Promitheas have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Promitheas may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Maroussi has faced a series of away games on the road.
Maroussi carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Maroussi has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 688:708 (averaging 86:88.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Maroussi against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 332:349 goals (averaging 83:87.3 per game).