Match Info

B.League

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Koshigaya City Gymnasium (Saitama)


	Koshigaya Alphas		Toyama Grouses

	1	2
	2.62	1.44
	2.42	1.46
	3.11	1.31
	2.61	1.47	Watch
	3	1.36
	2.97	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (1.38)	1.4 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Koshigaya Alphas
33.4%

Toyama Grouses
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.3%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Koshigaya Alphas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-33.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Koshigaya Alphas's form might have worsened.

Toyama Grouses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+33.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toyama Grouses's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Koshigaya Alphas than the current prediction. (+32.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Koshigaya Alphas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toyama Grouses than the current prediction. (-32.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toyama Grouses, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Koshigaya Alphas - Toyama Grouses Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Koshigaya Alphas will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Toyama will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Koshigaya Alphas: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Koshigaya Alphas (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3, OT - Koshigaya Alphas (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Koshigaya Alphas (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Clemmons A.	8. Kell T.
8. Diawara J.	12. Motum B.
7. Matsuyama S.	3. Okada Y.
20. Ngatai J.	17. Tanaka H.
11. Sotto K.	6. Williams N.
Substitutes
12. Ikeda Y.	13. Aquino M.
23. Inada K.	2. Fujinaga Y. (C)
18. Kamata Y.	14. Izumi T.
31. Kitagawa S. (C)	25. Kuzuhura D.
10. Mitsui K.	7. Miyamoto K.
14. Oba T.	24. Morin Y.
4. Shike K.	11. Uto N.
28. Sugawara K.
Coaches
. Anzai R.	. Gomez D.

Preview

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Koshigaya Alphas might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Koshigaya Alphas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 78:66.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Koshigaya Alphas
Japan B League Premier
08.03.26	Hiroshima Dragonflies - Koshigaya Alphas	99:65 ✺
07.03.26	Hiroshima Dragonflies - Koshigaya Alphas	92:89 ✺
15.02.26	Koshigaya Alphas - Tokyo SunRockers	62:69 ✺
14.02.26	Koshigaya Alphas - Tokyo SunRockers	93:75 ✺
08.02.26	Koshigaya Alphas - Sendai 89ers	67:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLWL
- Toyama Grouses
Japan B League Premier
08.03.26	SeaHorses Mikawa - Toyama Grouses	103:69 ✺
07.03.26	SeaHorses Mikawa - Toyama Grouses	83:70 ✺
15.02.26	Toyama Grouses - Levanga Hokkaido	115:93 ✺
14.02.26	Toyama Grouses - Levanga Hokkaido	98:101 ✺
08.02.26	Toyama Grouses - Saga Ballooners	69:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan B League Premier
29.10.25	Toyama Grouses - Koshigaya Alphas	66:78

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