Match Info

Korisliiga - Losers stage - Round 25

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: MLL Areena (Kouvola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Kouvot Kouvola		Joensuun Kataja

	1	2
	3.1	1.33
	3.35	1.31
	2.94	1.35
	3	1.33
	3.13	1.34
	3.2	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.22)	1.33 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 180.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kouvot Kouvola
29.9%

Joensuun Kataja
70.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kouvot Kouvola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kouvot Kouvola's form might have worsened.

Joensuun Kataja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Joensuun Kataja's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kouvot Kouvola than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kouvot Kouvola, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joensuun Kataja than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Joensuun Kataja, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kouvot Kouvola - Joensuun Kataja Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kouvot Kouvola (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:94

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. Blanton D.	2. Harmon D.
1. Cardet W.	18. Kanervo A.
20. Heinonen J. (C)	55. Kantonen H.
22. Korkiatupa A.	4. Marshall J.
3. Kristeri T.	23. Tumba T.
Substitutes
53. En P.	3. Kimbrough J.
11. Harsila T.	21. Knihtinen T. (C)
30. Ikalainen R.	10. Lahdetniemi E.
6. Lindberg R.	5. Timonen J.
4. Puittinen T.
21. Toikka J.
Coaches
. Kurronen K.	. Virtanen P.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kouvot Kouvola won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Joensuun Kataja may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Joensuun Kataja might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kouvot Kouvola won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1684:1759. (average 84.2:88).

Including home matches between the teams, Kouvot Kouvola won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 895:932. (average 81.4:84.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
4	Kataja	3	2	1	273:245	4
12	Kouvot Kouvola	3	0	3	245:265	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kouvot Kouvola
Finnish Korisliiga
30.01.26	Kouvot Kouvola - Lahti Basketball	79:74 ✺
24.01.26	Korikobrat - Kouvot Kouvola	94:90 ✺
20.01.26	Kouvot Kouvola - KTP Kotka Basket	90:80 ✺
14.01.26	Lahti Basketball - Kouvot Kouvola	107:96 ✺
10.01.26	Kouvot Kouvola - Kauhajoen Karhu	75:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWLL
- Joensuun Kataja
Finnish Korisliiga
04.02.26	Joensuun Kataja - Lahti Basketball	82:89 ✺
30.01.26	Korikobrat - Joensuun Kataja	91:95 ✺
24.01.26	Lahti Basketball - Joensuun Kataja	107:86 ✺
21.01.26	Joensuun Kataja - Kauhajoen Karhu	76:62 ✺
14.01.26	Salon Vilpas - Joensuun Kataja	89:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Korisliiga
09.12.25	Kouvot Kouvola - Joensuun Kataja	90:108
08.10.25	Joensuun Kataja - Kouvot Kouvola	107:109 OT
21.12.24	Joensuun Kataja - Kouvot Kouvola	92:87
01.11.24	Kouvot Kouvola - Joensuun Kataja	68:94
12.01.24	Kouvot Kouvola - Joensuun Kataja	84:69
11.11.23	Joensuun Kataja - Kouvot Kouvola	105:85
17.03.23	Kouvot Kouvola - Joensuun Kataja	78:102

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