Match Info

NKL - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Kretinga sports and wellness center (Kretinga)


	Kretinga		Vytis Šakiai

	1	2
	1.88	1.76	Watch
	1.95	1.79
	1.93	1.76	Watch
	1.85	1.8
	1.93	1.76
	1.8	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.8)	1.75 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 179.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kretinga
48.1%

Vytis Šakiai
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kretinga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Vytis Šakiai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kretinga than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vytis Šakiai than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Kretinga - Vytis Šakiai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:91

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Danys E.	24. Celka G. (C)
22. Kazakauskas J.	22. Janusevicius T.
33. Saulis V.	13. Leliukas K.
5. Staniulis M.	12. Mikstas A.
23. Young J.	2. Vaivada N.
Substitutes
9. Kazlauskas D.	11. Jocys R.
55. Warren J.	18. Lebskas N.
13. Zabita R. (C)	6. Mazeika G.
7. Ziubrys J.	1. Norutis R.
	3. Velutis P.
Coaches
. Mikalocius A.	. Kuciauskas E.

Preview

Kretinga leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kretinga won 2.

Kretinga is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Vytis Šakiai has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

We predict that Kretinga will win today's game, with odds of 1.86.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Kretinga won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1394:1532. (average 82:90.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kretinga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 622:698. (average 77.8:87.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
2	Vytis VDU	2	2	0	178:173	2
18	Kretinga	4	0	4	321:372	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Kretinga
Lietuvos NKL
04.04.26	Vytis Šakiai - Kretinga	103:107 OT ✺
31.03.26	Kretinga - Vytis Šakiai	78:96 ✺
27.03.26	Vytis Šakiai - Kretinga	91:95 ✺
22.03.26	Kretinga - Rytas 2	94:80 ✺
19.03.26	Rytas 2 - Kretinga	87:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WLWWW
- BC Vytis Šakiai
Lietuvos NKL
04.04.26	Vytis Šakiai - Kretinga	103:107 OT ✺
31.03.26	Kretinga - Vytis Šakiai	78:96 ✺
27.03.26	Vytis Šakiai - Kretinga	91:95 ✺
14.03.26	Mažeikiai - Vytis Šakiai	113:99 ✺
12.03.26	Vytis Šakiai - Perlas Vilkaviškis	89:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
04.04.26	Vytis Šakiai - Kretinga	103:107 OT
31.03.26	Kretinga - Vytis Šakiai	78:96
27.03.26	Vytis Šakiai - Kretinga	91:95
29.01.26	Vytis Šakiai - Kretinga	84:79
02.10.25	Kretinga - Vytis Šakiai	78:89
08.03.25	Kretinga - Vytis Šakiai	88:102
06.03.25	Vytis Šakiai - Kretinga	94:93

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