Match Info

NKL - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Active Vilnius Arena (Vilnius)


	Rytas 2		Kretinga

	1	2
			Watch
	1.5	2.35	Watch
	1.44	2.61
	1.53	2.32	Watch
	1.44	2.5
	1.45	2.56
	1.33	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.34)	2.47 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rytas 2
63%

Kretinga
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rytas 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Kretinga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rytas 2 than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rytas 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kretinga than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kretinga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rytas 2 - Kretinga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Bubnys G.	6. Danys E.
22. Krizanauskas G.	22. Kazakauskas J.
19. Stuknys N.	33. Saulis V.
16. Urbonas I. (C)	5. Staniulis M.
27. Vilkas A.	13. Zabita R. (C)
Substitutes
34. Adomaitis V.	3. Kontrimas G.
99. Balkandzhiev K.	55. Warren J.
8. Jokubauskas G.	23. Young J.
5. Liutkevicius M.	7. Ziubrys J.
2. Pocius A.
23. Sirgedas E.
10. Vilutis A.
Coaches
. Kadziulis G.	. Mikalocius A.

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rytas 2 won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Kretinga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rytas 2 could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Rytas 2 won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1105:1108. (average 85:85.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Rytas 2 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 579:597. (average 82.7:85.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
16	Rytas 2	3	0	3	240:265	0
17	Kretinga	3	0	3	226:273	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rytas 2
Lietuvos NKL
14.03.26	Kėdainiai - Rytas 2	87:78 ✺
12.03.26	Rytas 2 - Telšiai	88:65 ✺
07.03.26	Rytas 2 - Mažeikiai	94:90 ✺
05.03.26	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Rytas 2	79:58 ✺
28.02.26	Vytis Šakiai - Rytas 2	94:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWLL
- BC Kretinga
Lietuvos NKL
14.03.26	Vilniaus Stekas - Kretinga	103:107 OT ✺
12.03.26	Kretinga - Jurbarkas-Karys	77:88 ✺
07.03.26	Kretinga - Alytaus Alytus	101:97 ✺
28.02.26	Kretinga - Šilutė	93:76 ✺
26.02.26	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Kretinga	86:58 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
17.01.26	Rytas 2 - Kretinga	102:87
22.11.25	Kretinga - Rytas 2	85:74
27.02.25	Rytas 2 - Kretinga	74:92
05.12.24	Rytas 2 - Kretinga	85:81
14.11.24	Kretinga - Rytas 2	80:101
29.02.24	Kretinga - Rytas 2	89:74
27.01.24	Rytas 2 - Kretinga	66:79

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