Match Info

NKL - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Kretinga sports and wellness center (Kretinga)


	Kretinga		Rytas 2

	1	2
	1.5	2.35	Watch
	1.51	2.44
	1.66	2.06	Watch
	1.5	2.4
	1.51	2.39
	1.83	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.77)	2.21 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 163.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kretinga
58.3%

Rytas 2
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kretinga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kretinga's performance.

Rytas 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rytas 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kretinga than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rytas 2 than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Kretinga - Rytas 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Danys E.	99. Balkandzhiev K.
22. Kazakauskas J.	8. Jokubauskas G.
33. Saulis V.	5. Liutkevicius M. (C)
5. Staniulis M.	19. Stuknys N.
13. Zabita R. (C)	27. Vilkas A.
Substitutes
9. Kazlauskas D.	34. Adomaitis V.
3. Kontrimas G.	14. Bubnys G.
55. Warren J.	35. Buivydas G.
23. Young J.	2. Pocius A.
7. Ziubrys J.	23. Sirgedas E.
	9. Snitka K.
Coaches
. Mikalocius A.	. Kadziulis G.

Preview

Kretinga leads series 1-0. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kretinga won 3.

Kretinga is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Rytas 2 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Kretinga will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Kretinga won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1201:1192. (average 85.8:85.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kretinga won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 511:526. (average 85.2:87.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
16	Rytas 2	3	0	3	240:265	0
17	Kretinga	3	0	3	226:273	0

Last Results with these Odds

Rytas 2 - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 48.76%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Kretinga
Lietuvos NKL
19.03.26	Rytas 2 - Kretinga	87:93 ✺
14.03.26	Vilniaus Stekas - Kretinga	103:107 OT ✺
12.03.26	Kretinga - Jurbarkas-Karys	77:88 ✺
07.03.26	Kretinga - Alytaus Alytus	101:97 ✺
28.02.26	Kretinga - Šilutė	93:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWLWW
- Rytas 2
Lietuvos NKL
19.03.26	Rytas 2 - Kretinga	87:93 ✺
14.03.26	Kėdainiai - Rytas 2	87:78 ✺
12.03.26	Rytas 2 - Telšiai	88:65 ✺
07.03.26	Rytas 2 - Mažeikiai	94:90 ✺
05.03.26	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Rytas 2	79:58 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
19.03.26	Rytas 2 - Kretinga	87:93
17.01.26	Rytas 2 - Kretinga	102:87
22.11.25	Kretinga - Rytas 2	85:74
27.02.25	Rytas 2 - Kretinga	74:92
05.12.24	Rytas 2 - Kretinga	85:81
14.11.24	Kretinga - Rytas 2	80:101
29.02.24	Kretinga - Rytas 2	89:74

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