Match Info

EUROPE: ABA League - Round 10

Date: 29 November 2024, Friday

Location: SD Leona Stuklja (Novo Mesto)

Referee: Arsenijevic R. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	Arena Sport 1


	Krka		Mornar Bar

	1	2
	1.42	2.6
	1.41	2.7	Watch
	1.46	2.7
	1.43	2.77	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.45	2.62
	1.41	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.31)	2.69 ↓ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krka
65.4%

Mornar Bar
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.5%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Krka's form might have worsened.

Mornar Bar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mornar Bar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krka than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mornar Bar than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Krka - Mornar Bar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Smrekar Z.	10. Jenkins B.
55. Cebasek J.	7. Runjic L.
22. Skeens B.	8. Buljevic L.
20. Cerkvenik M.	14. Smith J.
11. Persons T.	5. Dokovic I.
Substitutes
7. Bacvic N.	15. Bediako J.
9. Garcia M.	33. Bulatovic S.
47. Klobucar J.	11. Carter C.
3. Mirtic T.	6. Cubic A.
12. Plut B.	44. Pekovic N.
17. Span J.	88. Radetic L.
	3. Thomasson N.
Coaches
. Jakara D.	. Pavicevic M.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ ABA League 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Krka won 2.

Recent matches Krka is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mornar Bar is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Krka is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Krka won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 884:954 (average 73.7:79.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Krka won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 452:460 (average 75.3:76.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK Krka
Adriatic League
17.11.24	Dubai - Krka	91:76 ✺
Slovenian Liga Basketball
13.11.24	Krka - Rogaška	97:67 ✺
Adriatic League
11.11.24	Krka - FMP Beograd	106:109 OT ✺
Slovenian Liga Basketball
06.11.24	Škofja Loka - Krka	69:88 ✺
Adriatic League
02.11.24	Krka - KK Zadar	73:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LWLWL
- KK Mornar Bar
Adriatic League
17.11.24	Mornar Bar - Partizan Belgrade	78:105 ✺
11.11.24	Studentski Centar - Mornar Bar	99:91 ✺
04.11.24	Mornar Bar - Cibona	92:85 ✺
27.10.24	Spartak Subotica - Mornar Bar	85:64 ✺
19.10.24	Mornar Bar - Borac Čačak	90:98 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Adriatic League
27.01.24	Krka - Mornar Bar	79:72
30.10.23	Mornar Bar - Krka	86:83
16.04.22	Mornar Bar - Krka	74:65
02.10.21	Krka - Mornar Bar	89:80
26.02.21	Mornar Bar - Krka	80:61
07.11.20	Krka - Mornar Bar	74:84
07.03.20	Mornar Bar - Krka	82:73

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