Match Info

NKL - Winners stage

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Sport Center (Kedainiai)


	Kėdainiai		Vytis Šakiai

	1	2
	1.53	2.25	Watch
	1.45	2.57
	1.56	2.24	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.56	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.57)	2.32 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 175.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kėdainiai
60.2%

Vytis Šakiai
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kėdainiai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Vytis Šakiai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kėdainiai than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kėdainiai that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vytis Šakiai than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vytis Šakiai could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kėdainiai - Vytis Šakiai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Danielius L. (C)	24. Celka G. (C)
15. Lukosius I.	22. Janusevicius T.
4. Semaska P.	11. Kupstas D.
37. Uzas R.	12. Mikstas A.
30. Zilinskas A.	2. Vaivada N.
Substitutes
17. Bimba L.	18. Lebskas N.
13. Dambrauskas P.	13. Leliukas K.
21. Gvezdauskas D.	6. Mazeika G.
9. Kelmelis A.	1. Norutis R.
8. Malek A.	23. Rubinas J.
	3. Velutis P.
Coaches
. Butkus G.	. Kuciauskas E.

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Kėdainiai could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kėdainiai won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 180:192. (average 90:96).

Including home match between the teams, Kėdainiai won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 80:106.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
2	Vytis VDU	2	2	0	178:173	2
14	Kedainiai BC	3	1	2	237:281	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kėdainių BC
Lietuvos NKL
28.02.26	Kėdainiai - Telšiai	75:77 ✺
26.02.26	Mažeikiai - Kėdainiai	86:79 ✺
19.02.26	Kėdainiai - Perlas Vilkaviškis	80:69 ✺
10.02.26	Vilniaus Stekas - Kėdainiai	70:81 ✺
07.02.26	Kėdainiai - Plunges Olimpas	85:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWWW
- BC Vytis Šakiai
Lietuvos NKL
28.02.26	Vytis Šakiai - Rytas 2	94:87 ✺
26.02.26	Sūduva - Vytis Šakiai	98:91 ✺
19.02.26	Vytis Šakiai - Telšiai	109:93 ✺
05.02.26	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Vytis Šakiai	88:89 ✺
31.01.26	Sūduva - Vytis Šakiai	107:99 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
09.12.25	Kėdainiai - Vytis Šakiai	80:106
06.12.25	Vytis Šakiai - Kėdainiai	86:100

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